GAME 12 PROJECTION vs. RESULTS
Final Score: 30-24, Michigan by 6 over Ohio State
SP+ Projection: Michigan by 6.1 (-0.1)
CD Projection: Michigan by 6 (!)
FIVE FACTORS
GAME 12 RECAP vs. Ohio State
Michigan’s offense vs. Ohio State’s defense shifted more than any other matchup when compared to the past two seasons. The Wolverines finished with a 46% success rate for the game, and averaged 5.8 yards/play. The Buckeyes succeeded in reducing their explosive play exposure. But, in the 2nd half when the game was decided, Michigan rushed for 122 yards and 5.8 yards per rush. The Wolverines posted a 64% success rate in the 3rd quarter, and 50% in the 4th. JJ McCarthy chipped in a 16-20 passing performance for another 148 yards and a touchdown to Roman Wilson.
Defensively, the Wolverines battled back-and-forth with a star-studded offense from Ohio State. All-world wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. caught five balls for 118 yards and a touchdown, while Emeka Egbuka also found the end zone. However, even though the Buckeyes established a much clearer commitment to rushing the football, they could not top Michigan. Tradition dictates the winner of the rushing battle wins The Game when Ohio State and Michigan clash. The Wolverines triumphed 156-107 on the ground.
The final slice of Michigan’s complementary football masterpiece came from the kicking game. Tommy Doman averaged 52.0 yards per punt, and James Turner looked rock solid on three field goals from 50, 38, and 37 yards. Jake Thaw also deserves a shout out for catching Ohio State’s punts in the air, often in heavy traffic. Michigan gained nearly a point of EPA per possession with their field position advantage.
Sherrone Moore continues his career ascension in Ann Arbor. He flourished as the offensive line coach and led his unit to back-to-back Joe Moore awards as the best in the nation. He added play calling duty in 2022 and improved the offensive output by 4.1 points per game. Now he lives forever as THE guardian of victory for stepping in during Jim Harbaugh’s November suspension. Enjoy the rivalry win boys, back to work on a B1G Championship tomorrow. Onward!
- Michigan 13 Ohio State 10 – Game 12 Recap - November 30, 2024
- Michigan 50 Northwestern 6 – Game 11 Recap - November 23, 2024
- Michigan 17 Oregon 38 – Game 9 Recap - November 2, 2024
- By the Numbers: Game 7 @ Illinois - October 17, 2024
- Michigan 27 Minnesota 24 – Game 5 Recap - September 28, 2024
- By the Numbers: Game 5 vs. Minnesota - September 28, 2024
- Michigan 27 USC 24 – Game 4 Recap - September 21, 2024
- By the Numbers: Game 4 vs. USC - September 21, 2024
- Michigan 28 Arkansas State 18 – Game 3 Recap - September 15, 2024
- By the Numbers: Game 3 vs. Arkansas State - September 12, 2024