Nothing But ‘Net – Week #16 – 02/13/2023 – So Close

The University of Michigan men’s basketball team played two games this past week, and they won one and lost the other.  On Wednesday (02/08/2023), they beat Nebraska 93-72, then on Saturday (02/11/2023), they lost to (#18) Indiana 62-61.  Both games were in Crisler Arena.  The win and the loss leave Michigan with a record of 14-11 (8-6 in Big Ten).

What Happened?

Michigan won the game they were supposed to win (Nebraska), and got so close in the Indiana game, but couldn’t quite pull it off.  UM was dominant vs. Nebraska, and they looked every bit as good as Indiana, but IU managed to be one point better.  It’s a real shame, because Michigan led for most of the IU game, only to go stone cold in the final minutes.

Game Flow

The Nebraska game was close early, with the teams exchanging the lead a few times in the first 6 minutes.  With 14:34 to go, Nebraska had their last lead, 12-11, then Michigan went on a nice 14-0 run to put the game out of reach.  Michigan pushed the lead as high as 24 points (41-17) in the 1st half, leading by 12 (46-34) at halftime.  Nebraska got within 9 points (48-39) at the 18:01 mark, but that was as close as they got.  Michigan pushed the lead back up to 21 points (68-47) with 11:41 to go, led by 23 a couple times, and coasted to a 21-point win.  It was a dominating performance.

The IU game was close for the first few minutes, with IU ahead by one (6-5) at the 17:16 mark.  Michigan went on a quick 8-0 run to take a small lead, 13-6, with 15:35 to go.  UM kept the lead in the 6-8 point range for the rest of the half, pushing it as high as 11 (32-21) at the 6:27 mark.  Michigan still led by 8 points (37-29) with 2:25 left in the half, but they allowed IU to score the last 4 points of the half, cutting the lead to 4 at halftime, 37-33.  IU kept it going after halftime, and finally caught and passed UM, 40-39, at the 16:34 mark.  Michigan responded, and took the lead back, pushing it up to 7 points a few times.  Michigan was up by 7 points (53-46) with 11:34 to go, when IU made another push.  They grabbed the lead again, 54-53, at the 9:05 mark, but Michigan came right back again.  They led for most of the rest of the game, but only by 1-3 points.  UM was up by 3 points (61-58) at the 5:12 mark when they just fell apart offensively.  IU outscored them 4-0 in the last 5:12 to win by one point.  During that 5:12 drought, Michigan did the following:

  • Missed 3-pointer
  • Missed 3-pointer
  • Missed layup
  • Missed short jumper
  • Missed jumper
  • Turnover
  • Missed jumper
  • Missed 3-pointer

That’s 7 missed shots and a turnover.  Disgusting.

Stats

The game stats for the Nebraska game were excellent.  Michigan shot very well overall (34-for-59 = 57.6%), they shot 3-pointers very well (14-for-26 = 53.8%), and they shot free throws very well (11-for-13 = 84.6%).  They won the rebounding battle handily (35-23) and the turnover battle (13-15).  They won this game with great shooting and rebounding.

The game stats for the Indiana game were mediocre.  Michigan shot decently overall (23-for-54 = 42.6%), they shot 3-pointers pretty poorly (5-for-20 = 25.0%), and they shot free throws pretty well (10-for-13 = 76.9%).  They lost the rebounding battle (33-31), but won the turnover battle (11-13).  They lost this game with poor 3-point shooting.

Who Started?

The starters for both games were Kobe Bufkin, Hunter Dickinson, Jett Howard, Dug McDaniel, and Terrance Williams II.

Who Looked Good?

Dickinson had a good week, with 16 points in each game.  He also had 10 rebounds in the Nebraska game, for another double-double.  The only downside was his defensive performance against IU’s Trayce Jackson-Davis.  Dickinson couldn’t stop him, and could barely slow him down.  TJD scored 28 points, although some them were scored while Dickinson was either on the bench with 2 quick fouls in the 1st half, or playing very cautiously with those 2 fouls late in the 1st half.  He did better defensively in the 2nd half, but he still only slowed TJD down, but couldn’t stop him.

Jett Howard also had a good week, with a team-high 22 points vs. Nebraska, and 12 points vs. IU.  He shot well in the Nebraska game (7-for-17 overall, 6-for-14 from deep), but not so well vs. IU (5-for-14 overall, 2-for-8 from deep).  He had a miserable 2nd half vs. IU, and he missed two huge 3-pointers in the last 5:12, including the final shot at the buzzer.  He’s Michigan’s best option for a last-second shot, and he bricked it.  Sigh.

Bufkin also had a good week, with 13 and 14 points.  He also had a miserable 2nd half vs. IU.  If he could have hit just one more basket, UM might have pulled off the upset.

McDaniel had one great game (14 points vs. Nebraska) and one lousy game (5 points vs. IU).  He was very efficient in the Nebraska game, shooting 5-for-7 overall, 2-for-2 from deep, but he was very inefficient in the IU game, shooting 1-for-8 overall, 0-for-4 from deep.  He also missed a key front-end-of-the-one-and-one free throw late in the IU game.

Williams also had one good game (10 points vs. Nebraska) and one lousy game (4 points vs. IU).

Joey Baker was yet another Michigan player with one good game (11 points vs. Nebraska) and one lousy game (2 points vs. IU).

Tarris Reed, Jr. had a pretty good week, with 4 and 8 points.  More important than his scoring was his defense, especially vs. IU.  He had to try to contain Trayce Jackson-Davis when Dickinson was on the bench with 2 quick fouls in the 1st half, and he did a pretty good job.

Who Looked Not-So-Good?

No one looked not-so-good this week, although a couple players had one good game and one mediocre game.

Who Else Played?

Jace Howard played in both games, scoring 3 and 0 points.

Jackson Selvala played in the Nebraska game, but didn’t attempt a shot.

Cooper Smith played in the Nebraska game, but didn’t attempt a shot.

Will Tschetter played in both games, but didn’t attempt a shot.  He was on the wrong end of two terrible calls in the IU game; first, he was called for a foul that was clearly a charge, then he was called for a charge (wiping out a basket) that was clearly a foul.  The refs were pretty bad in the IU game, and just those two bad calls more than account for the difference.

Who Didn’t Play?

Isaiah Barnes, Gregg Glenn III, and Youssef Khayat were the scholarship players who didn’t get to play this week.

Ian Burns was the only practice squad player who didn’t get to play this week.

What Does It Mean?

After inching their way a little closer to the bubble for the Big Dance, Michigan threw it all away in the IU loss.  Now they need to win 4 of their last 6 regular season games to stand a chance of making the tournament.  Since most of those games are against upper-division teams, and 4 of them are on the road, it doesn’t seem likely.

What’s Next?

This week, Michigan plays two games.  On Tuesday (02/14/2023, 9:00 p.m. EST, ESPN2), they play at Wisconsin, then on Saturday (02/18/2023, 8:00 p.m., FOX), they play Michigan State in Crisler Arena.

Wisconsin is currently 14-10 (6-8 in Big Ten), with impressive wins over USC, (#13) Maryland, and Iowa, and unimpressive losses to Wake Forest, Illinois (twice), Northwestern (twice), Maryland, and Nebraska.  They don’t have any noteworthy players, and they only have one tall guy (a 7-footer).  They were ranked for a few weeks earlier in the season, but a 3-8 stretch knocked them out of the rankings.  Michigan has always had a tough time winning in the Kohl Center, and this will be a very challenging game.

Michigan State is currently 16-9 (8-6 in Big Ten).  They beat Michigan in the Breslin Center back on 01/07/2023, but it was a close game.  This is another game that Michigan can win, but they need to play their “A” game.  They can’t go 5:12 without scoring.

Check back next week to find out what happened and why.

Go Blue!

Nothing But ‘Net – Week #15 – 02/06/2023 – Two Big Wins

The University of Michigan men’s basketball team played two games this past week, and they won both of them.  On Thursday (02/02/2023), they won at Northwestern 68-51, then on Sunday (02/05/2023), they beat Ohio State 77-69 in Crisler Arena.  The two wins raise Michigan’s record to 13-10 (7-5 in Big Ten).

What Happened?

Michigan finally won two games in the same week, after weeks of going either 1-1 or 0-2.  Even more encouraging – both opponents were pretty good, and Michigan was obviously better.  It was also great that Michigan finally won another Big Ten road game.  All in all, it was a very good week.

Game Flow

The Northwestern game was close for the entire 1st half, with several ties and lead changes, and neither team getting ahead by more than 5 points.  It was all tied up 22-22 with 1:30 left in the half, and Michigan led by one point at halftime, 26-25.  Northwestern went back in front at the start of the 2nd half, and they were up by 3 points (29-26) at the 19:13 mark.  That’s when Michigan went on a nice 18-2 run to give them a lead they would never surrender, 44-31, with 13:09 to go.  Northwestern got within 11 points once, but UM pushed their lead as high as 19 points, cruising to a 17-point win.  It was a dominating performance against a solid Northwestern team, for a season sweep.

Michigan led OSU from wire-to-wire.  OSU hung around for the whole game, getting within one point several times, but they never got ahead or even tied the score.  UM led by as many as 11 points in the 1st half, by 5 at halftime (41-36), and by as many as 13 points in the 2nd half.  UM kept their lead in the 10-12 point range for most of the 2nd half, and won by 8.  It was another dominating performance against a solid OSU team.

Stats

The game stats for the Northwestern game were decent.  Michigan shot pretty well overall (24-for-58 = 41.4%), they shot 3-pointers pretty well (7-for-20 = 35.0%), and they shot free throws well (13-for-16 = 81.3%).  They won the rebounding battle (41-33) and the turnover battle (7-9).  They won this game with rebounding and 3-point shooting.

The game stats for the OSU game were pretty good.  Michigan shot well overall (28-for-57 = 49.1%), they shot 3-pointers pretty well (8-for-23 = 34.8%), and they shot free throws well (13-for-18 = 72.2%).  They barely lost the rebounding battle (36-34) and the turnover battle (9-6).  They won this game with overall shooting and defense.

Who Started?

The starters for both games were Kobe Bufkin, Hunter Dickinson, Jett Howard, Dug McDaniel, and Terrance Williams II.

Who Looked Good?

Dickinson was the leading scorer for Michigan in both games, with 19 and 26 points.  He only had 3 rebounds vs. Northwestern, but he hauled down 11 rebounds vs. OSU, for another double-double.  On top of his scoring and rebounding, he played excellent post defense in both games.  He dominated the opposing centers, holding each team to just 6 points from that position (Northwestern: Nicholson 4, Beran 2 and OSU: Key 6, Okpara 0).  Dickinson dominated all 4 of them, offensively and defensively.

Bufkin was the only other Wolverine to hit double figures in both games, with 15 and 13 points.  He also rebounded very well, with 12 and 8, giving him his first career double-double in the Northwestern game.

Jett Howard had one good game and one decent game, with 8 and 16 points.  He didn’t shoot very well in either game: 2-for-8 overall (2-for-7 from deep) vs. Northwestern, and 5-for-12 overall (2-for-7 from deep) vs. OSU.

McDaniel had a decent game against OSU (8 points), but a lousy game against Northwestern (2 points, on 1-for-7 shooting).  He ran the offense pretty well.

Williams had a decent week: 7 and 6 points.  He also had 10 rebounds vs. Northwestern.

Joey Baker had a good week, with 14 points vs. Northwestern and 8 points vs. OSU.  He was deadly in the Northwestern game (5-for-6 overall, 3-for-4 from deep) and pretty efficient vs. OSU (3-for-5 overall, 2-for-4 from deep).  This is exactly the kind of contribution Michigan needs from him.

Who Looked Not-So-Good?

No one looked not-so-good this week, although a couple players had one good game and one mediocre game.

Who Else Played?

Jace Howard played in both games, scoring 1 and 0 points.

Youssef Khayat played in the Northwestern game, but didn’t score.

Tarris Reed, Jr. did a mediocre job backing up Dickinson.  He scored 2 and 0 points, but he did play solid, rugged defense.

Who Didn’t Play?

Isaiah Barnes, Gregg Glenn III, and Will Tschetter and were the scholarship players who didn’t get to play this week.

Ian Burns, Jackson Selvala, and Cooper Smith were the practice squad players who didn’t get to play this week.

What Does It Mean?

Did Michigan inch their way a little closer to the bubble for the Big Dance?  Maybe, but they’re still a long way from actually being on the bubble.  Still, if they can keep playing at this level, they might sneak into the tournament.  However, they STILL have to beat a ranked team.

What’s Next?

This week, Michigan plays two games.  On Wednesday (02/08/2023, 6:30 p.m., BTN), they play Nebraska, then on Saturday (02/11/2023, 6:00 p.m., ESPN), they play (#21) Indiana.  Both games are in Crisler Arena.

Nebraska is currently 11-13 (4-9 in Big Ten), with impressive wins over Florida State, Boston College, (#7) Creighton, Iowa, Ohio State, and Penn State, and unimpressive losses to Colorado, St. John’s, Oklahoma, and Kansas State.  They don’t have any noteworthy players, but they do have some height: a 6’10” guy, a 6’11” guy, and a 7-footer.  They may be near the bottom of the Big Ten standings, but they’ve beaten some good teams and lost some close games to other good teams.  This will not be an easy game.

Indiana is currently 16-7 (7-5 in Big Ten), with impressive wins over (#18) North Carolina, (#18) Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan State, Ohio State, and (#1) Purdue, and unimpressive losses to Rutgers, Iowa, Northwestern, Penn State, and Maryland.  They have a few noteworthy players (Tracye Jackson-Davis, Race Thompson, and Miller Kopp), but they don’t have much height: one 6’10” guy.  IU has an impressive resume, some star players, and a ton of confidence after beating (#1) Purdue.  This will be an extremely challenging game.  Michigan can win, but they will need to play their “A+” game.

Check back next week to find out what happened and why.

Go Blue!

Nothing But ‘Net – Week #14 – 01/30/2023 – Two Big Runs = Two Sad Losses

The University of Michigan men’s basketball team played two games this past week, and they lost both of them.  On Thursday (01/26/2023), they lost to (#1) Purdue 75-70 in Crisler Arena, then on Sunday (01/29/2023), they lost at Penn State 83-61.  The two losses lower Michigan’s record to 11-10 (5-5 in Big Ten).

What Happened?

Both games were close, until the other guys had a big run to make it “not close”.  In the Purdue game, Michigan was up 28-26 with 8:02 to go in the 1st half when Purdue went on a long, grinding 15-0 run to go up 41-28 with 3:06 left in the half.  Michigan never led again.  In the PSU game, Michigan was only down one point (31-30) with 4:34 to go in the 1st half when PSU went on a long, grinding 18-0 run to go up 49-30 with 31 seconds left in the half.  Michigan never got close again.  In that 18-0 run, PSU hit five 3-pointers in a row without a miss, then a short jumper, while Michigan missed four 3-pointers and a jumper.  Michigan couldn’t buy a basket.

Game Flow

As mentioned above, both games were close in the early going, with Michigan leading in both.  In the Purdue game, UM led by as many as 6 points, and still led by 2 points when Purdue went on their 15-0 run.  Michigan managed to get close by halftime, pulling to within 6 points (41-35).  Unfortunately, Purdue started the 2nd half hot, Michigan was cold, and Purdue quickly pushed their lead back up to double digits, 48-37, with 17:27 to go.  They kept the lead in the 8-10 point range until the final minute, when Michigan got as close as 3 points (73-70) before losing by 5.  It was a noble effort against an obviously better team.

In the PSU game, Michigan only led once, 6-4, with 17:45 to go in the 1st half.  They kept the game close for most of the half, trailing by just one point when PSU went on their 18-0 run.  Michigan trailed by 17 points (49-32) at halftime, and never got closer than 20 points in the 2nd half.  PSU pushed their lead up as high as 32, and won by 22.  It was a miserable effort against a team that isn’t any better than Michigan.

Stats

The game stats for the Purdue game were decent.  Michigan shot reasonably well overall (26-for-59 = 44.1%), they shot 3-pointers fairly well (9-for-25 = 36.0%), and they shot free throws just OK (9-for-14 = 64.3%).  They lost the rebounding battle badly (34-26), but won the turnover battle handily (6-12).  They lost this game with rebounding and fouls: Purdue was 16-for-20 at the free throw line.

The game stats for the PSU game were sad.  Michigan shot OK overall (25-for-59 = 42.4%), they shot 3-pointers poorly (6-for-22 = 27.3%), and they shot free throws fairly well, just not often enough (5-for-8 = 62.5%).  They lost the rebounding battle badly (36-27), but won the turnover battle (8-9).  They lost this game with rebounding and 3-point defense: PSU was 13-for-30 from 3-point range.

Who Started?

The starters for the Purdue game were Joey Baker, Kobe Bufkin, Hunter Dickinson, Dug McDaniel, and Terrance Williams II.  Baker started in place of Jett Howard, who injured his ankle in the Minnesota game last week.  He missed the Purdue game, but was back in the starting lineup for the PSU game.

Who Looked Good?

Jett Howard looked good in his only game this week, scoring 21 points on good shooting: 8-for-13 overall, 5-for-7 from 3-point range.  He was Michigan’s whole offense in the early going, while the game was still close.

Dickinson had one good game and one mediocre game, scoring 21 points vs. Purdue and 6 points vs. PSU.  He actually outscored Purdue’s monster center (7’4” Zach Edey, with 19 points), and played him about even.  He was pathetic against PSU.

Bufkin had one good game and one decent game, scoring 16 points vs. Purdue and 8 points vs. PSU.

Baker had one good game and one lousy game, scoring 11 points in his start against Purdue, but only 2 points (on 1-for-5 shooting) vs. PSU.

McDaniel had a decent game against Purdue (9 points), but a lousy game against PSU (4 points, on 1-for-7 shooting).  He ran the offense pretty well.

Williams had a decent week: 4 and 7 points.

Tarris Reed, Jr. did a decent job backing up Dickinson.  He scored 2 and 3 points, and played solid, rugged defense.

Will Tschetter chipped in 3 and 4 points, and played solid defense.

Jace Howard chipped in 2 and 6 points, and played solid defense.  He was the only other Michigan player to hit a 3-pointer vs. PSU, along with his younger brother Jett.  Jett was 5-for-7 shooting 3-pointers, and Jace was 1-for-3, for a combined 6-for-10 for the Howard brothers.  The rest of the team was 0-for-12.

Who Looked Not-So-Good?

No one looked not-so-good this week, although several players had one good game and one mediocre game.

Who Else Played?

Isaiah Barnes played in both games, scoring 2 and 0 points.

Cooper Smith played in the PSU game, but didn’t attempt a shot.

Who Didn’t Play?

Gregg Glenn III and Youssef Khayat were the scholarship players who didn’t get to play this week.

Ian Burns and Jackson Selvala were the practice squad players who didn’t get to play this week.

What Does It Mean?

I’m afraid this is looking like a lost season for Michigan.  Barring a miracle run in February or the Big Ten Tournament, they probably aren’t going to a post-season tournament.  It looks highly unlikely that they’ll make the NCAA Tournament, and they probably won’t finish at or above 0.500 and qualify for the NIT.

At this point, they are playing for pride, along with getting some quality playing time for the younger players.  They can still upset some teams in the race for 2nd place, since Purdue has got the title firmly in their grasp.

What’s Next?

This week, Michigan plays two games.  On Thursday (02/02/2023, 7:00 p.m. EST, ESPN2), they play at Northwestern, then on Sunday (02/05/2023, 1:00 p.m., CBS), they play Ohio State in Crisler Arena.

Northwestern is currently 15-5 (6-3 in Big Ten).  Michigan beat them in Crisler a couple weeks ago (01/15/2023) 85-78, and since then Northwestern has won 3 games in a row, over lower-division teams (Wisconsin, Nebraska, and Minnesota).  Michigan had a tough time putting them away in Crisler, and Michigan has played worse against teams they beat the first time around (Minnesota, Maryland, and Penn State), so this looks to be a very challenging game.

Ohio State is currently 11-10 (3-7 in Big Ten), with impressive wins over Cincinnati, (#21) Texas Tech, and Rutgers, and unimpressive losses to Minnesota and Nebraska.  They have one noteworthy player (super freshman Brice Sensabaugh) and one tall guy (6’11”).  OSU started the season hot, and they were ranked for 3 weeks, as high as #23, before they lost 7 out of their last 8 games.  This is a game that Michigan can win, and in a dismal season, they need to grab every win they can.

Check back next week to find out what happened and why.

Go Blue!

Nothing But ‘Net – Week #13 – 01/23/2023 – Another Week, Another Split

The University of Michigan men’s basketball team played two games this past week, and they lost one and won the other.  On Thursday (01/19/2023), they lost at Maryland 64-58, then on Sunday (01/22/2023), they beat Minnesota 60-56 in Crisler Arena.  The loss and the win leave Michigan with a record of 11-8 (5-3 in Big Ten).

What Happened?

Another week, another split.  Once again, Michigan lost on the road and won at home.  In this case, they played two teams that they had already played (and beaten) earlier this season.  I was hoping that they could steal a win on the road against Maryland, since they had beaten them by 35 points in Ann Arbor, but it wasn’t to be.  I was also hoping that Michigan would have an easy time against Minnesota, since they beat them by 15 points on the road, but it also wasn’t to be.  The loss and the win leave Michigan right where they were last week (and the week before that, and the week before that): on the wrong side of the bubble for the Big Dance.  They need to win both games in a week, and win on the road, and beat a ranked team.  They’ve had a tough time with all of those things.

Game Flow

In both games, Michigan got off to a very slow start, and they played most of both games behind, often by 10 points or so.  This was especially true in the Maryland game, where they had a miserable start, falling behind by 11 points (17-6) at the 10:29 mark.  Maryland pushed the lead up to 13 points (28-15) with 6:32 to go, before Michigan finally woke up and ended the half on a 17-6 run to only trail by 2 points at halftime, 34-32.  After fighting so hard to get back in the game, Michigan started the 2nd half with another slow start, quickly falling behind by 6 points (40-34) at the 15:51 mark.  Michigan fought back again, and actually tied the game (42-42) with 12:26 left, but they never led.  The game was still tied (44-44) at the 11:09 mark, when Maryland went ahead for good.  They pushed the lead up to 10 points (59-49) with 4:30 to go, and never let Michigan get closer than 4 points the rest of the way.  It was a dreary, disheartening loss to a team that Michigan should have beaten, even on the road.

The start of the Minnesota game was almost as bad.  Michigan was quickly down 8-0 in the first 2:00, and down 10 points (20-10) with 10:16 to go.  They clawed their way back with an 8-0 run, and were only down 2 points (20-18) at the 5:18 mark.  With a chance to tie or even take the lead, Michigan did the following on their next 5 possessions:

  • Missed 3-pointer, no rebound
  • Missed jumper, offensive rebound, missed jumper, foul
  • Missed jumper, no rebound
  • Turnover
  • Turnover

Fortunately, Minnesota wasn’t scoring either, and Michigan managed to tie the score up (23-23) at halftime.  After Minnesota went up by 3 early in the 2nd half, Michigan finally got their first lead, 27-26, at the 18:13 mark.  They pushed the lead up to 5 points (31-26) with 16:19 to go, but Minnesota tied it up again (31-31) at the 14:55 mark.  It was still tied up (33-33) with 13:42 to go, when Michigan went ahead for good.  They pushed the lead as high as 8 points, and kept it in the 4-6 point range the rest of the game.  It was a decent 2nd half, following a miserable 1st half.

Stats

The game stats for the Maryland game were sad.  Michigan shot pretty poorly overall (23-for-55 = 41.8%), they shot 3-pointers poorly (8-for-28 = 28.6%), and they shot free throws terribly, and not very often (4-for-8 = 50.0%).  They won the rebounding battle (36-35), but lost the turnover battle badly (12-6).  They lost this game with turnovers and fouls; Maryland was 13-for-17 from the free-throw line.

The game stats for the Minnesota game were miserable.  Michigan shot poorly overall (22-for-60 = 35.7%), they shot 3-pointers incredibly poorly (2-for-14 = 14.3%), but they did shoot free throws pretty well (14-for-18 = 77.8%).  They won the rebounding battle (37-36)      and the turnover battle (10-15).  They won this game with free throw shooting and taking better care of the ball.  They were lucky that Minnesota isn’t very good.  14% shooting from 3-point range will lose most games.

Who Started?

The starters were Kobe Bufkin, Hunter Dickinson, Jett Howard, Dug McDaniel, and Terrance Williams II.

Who Looked Good?

Dickinson usually saves his best games for Maryland, and he was Michigan’s high scorer, but he wasn’t nearly as dominant as he usually is against Maryland.  He scored 19 points, and had 10 rebounds, for a double-double, but it wasn’t quite enough.  He did shoot 3-for-5 from 3-point range vs. Maryland.  He had a better game against Minnesota, with 23 points and 9 rebounds.  He shot 9-for-9 from the free throw line vs. Minnesota!

Jett Howard had an up-and-down week.  He was the only other Michigan player in double figures vs. Maryland, with 13 points, but he was scoreless in 15 minutes of action against Minnesota before he injured his ankle and missed the entire 2nd half.  At this point, it isn’t clear how serious this injury is.  Even though he had 13 points vs. Maryland, it wasn’t one of his better games, with 4-for-14 shooting, 3-for-12 from 3-point range.  He also had 4 fouls and 4 turnovers.

Bufkin also had an up-and-down week.  He only had 2 points vs. Maryland, on lousy (1-for-6) shooting, but he had 12 points vs. Minnesota.  He had a terrible week shooting 3-pointers: 0-for-2 vs. Maryland and 0-for-4 vs. Minnesota.

McDaniel was yet another player with an up-and-down week.  He had a rough time vs. Maryland (4 points, on 2-for-10 shooting, 0-for-4 from deep), but bounced back nicely vs. Minnesota (10 points, on 4-for-10 shooting, 2-for-3 from deep).  His assist-to-turnover ratio was pretty good: 7 assists/3 turnovers vs. Maryland, and 3 assists/0 turnovers vs. Minnesota.

Williams had a better week than usual.  He almost hit double figures vs. Maryland (9 points), and he had his normal 5 points vs. Minnesota.  He was Michigan’s leading rebounder vs. Maryland, with 13.

Tarris Reed, Jr. did a nice job backing up Dickinson.  He scored 4 points in each game, and played solid, rugged defense.

Will Tschetter chipped in 2 and 4 points, and played solid defense.

Who Looked Not-So-Good?

Joey Baker had a decent game vs. Maryland (5 points), but he was horrible vs. Minnesota.  He scored 2 points on 1-for-6 shooting, and he missed a breakaway layup, with Michigan clinging to a narrow lead in a tight game.  It was embarrassing.

Who Else Played?

Isaiah Barnes played in both games, but didn’t attempt a shot.

Who Didn’t Play?

Gregg Glenn III, Jace Howard, and Youssef Khayat were the scholarship players who didn’t get to play this week.  Jace missed both games with a concussion.

Ian Burns, Jackson Selvala, and Cooper Smith were the practice squad players who didn’t get to play this week.

What Does It Mean?

Time is running out for Michigan.  They can’t afford to keep playing 0.500 ball.  They need to string a couple wins together, including a couple on the road and a couple against ranked teams.  There’s still time, but it’s getting late.

They still look a lot like an NIT team, not an NCAA Tournament team.

What’s Next?

This week, Michigan plays two games.  On Thursday (01/26/2023, 9:00 p.m., FS1), they play (#3) Purdue in Crisler Arena, then on Sunday (01/29/2023, 12:00 p.m., BTN), they play at Penn State.

Purdue is currently 19-1 (8-1 in Big Ten), with impressive wins over (#6) Gonzaga, (#8) Duke, (#24) Ohio State, and Michigan State, and one bizarre loss to Rutgers.  They have a couple noteworthy players (Fletcher Loyer and Zach Edey) and a lot of height: a 6’10” guy, a 7’2” guy, and Edey, who is 7’4”.  Edey is the biggest problem (literally), since he’s 3 inches taller than Dickinson, but Loyer (younger brother of Foster Loyer, who was at Michigan State for a couple seasons) is a great outside shooter.  It’s a lethal combination, and Michigan will have to play their “A+” game to stand a chance of pulling off the upset in this one.

Penn State is currently 13-6 (4-4 in Big Ten), with impressive wins over (#17) Illinois, Iowa, and Indiana, and unimpressive losses to Virginia Tech, Clemson, and Wisconsin.  Michigan played PSU pretty recently (01/04/2023), and beat them by 10 points (79-69) in Crisler Arena.  That was a close game, and it’ll be even tougher on the road.

Check back next week to find out what happened and why.

Go Blue!

Nothing But ‘Net – Week #12 – 01/16/2023 – Holding Even, And Mid-Term Grades

The University of Michigan men’s basketball team played two games this past week, and they lost one and won the other.  On Thursday (01/12/2023), they lost at Iowa 93-84 (overtime), then on Sunday (01/15/2023), they beat Northwestern 85-78 in Crisler Arena.  The loss and the win leave Michigan with a record of 10-7 (4-2 in Big Ten).

What Happened?

The last couple weeks Michigan has been holding even, winning two games at home and losing two games on the road.  It’s a shame that they lost the Iowa game, since they had a decent lead with not much time left in regulation, but they played pretty poorly down the stretch, and were flat in overtime.  It would have been great to steal a win on the road in the Big Ten, but Michigan just couldn’t seal the deal.  They looked like they were fixing to give away the home Northwestern game, but they woke up and played solid ball in the closing minutes, avoiding the upset.  Still, Michigan needs to do better than just holding even.  They need to string together a few wins, and beat a ranked team or two.

Game Flow

The Iowa game was close and competitive the whole way, although Michigan led for most of the game.  In the first half, Michigan was either tied or ahead except for:

  • 26 seconds from the 13:50 mark to the 13:24 mark, when Iowa led by 1 point (14-13)
  • 29 seconds from the 13:07 mark to the 12:38 mark, when Iowa led by 1 point (16-15)
  • 30 seconds from the 2:37 mark to the 2:07 mark, when Iowa led by 1 point (40-39)

Other than that, Michigan led by 3-5 points most of the time, including a 3-point lead at halftime, 43-40.  The second half was more of the same, with Michigan either tied or leading the whole way, except for:

  • 20 seconds from the 14:44 mark to the 14:24 mark, when Iowa led by 1 point (53-52)

Michigan pushed the lead as high as 10 points (65-55) with 10:56 to go, and still led by 7 points (77-70) with 2:18 left.  UM was up 4 points (79-75) with 29 seconds left, but they allowed a 4-point play by Iowa with 20 seconds left, and couldn’t score in the final seconds, sending the game to overtime.  They immediately fell behind in overtime, and never stood a chance.

I don’t often second guess Coach Howard, but with 20 seconds left in regulation and a 4-point lead, I would have intentionally fouled someone who wasn’t shooting, giving Iowa a maximum of 2 points.  Letting them get off a 3-pointer was bad enough, but fouling the shooter is inexcusable.  Of course, looking at the replay, it was a very questionable foul call, but still.  An intentional foul was the smart play.  Sigh.

Michigan led for most of the 1st half against Northwestern, by as many as 12 points (20-8 with 10:11 to go), but they went cold, and NU snuck back into the game.  It was all tied up (29-29) with 3:49 left, when NU went ahead.  Northwestern led by as many as 6 points (39-33 at the 1:15 mark), and by 2 points at halftime, 39-37.  The lead seesawed back and forth in the first 10 minutes of the 2nd half, and NU was up by 1 point (59-58) with 10:17 to go.  That’s when Michigan finally got organized, and went up by 9 points, 68-59, at the 6:56 mark.  They kept the lead in the 5-7 range for the rest of the game, winning by 7 points.  It was a nice, solid win against a dangerous Northwestern team.

Stats

The game stats for the Iowa game were surprisingly good.  Michigan shot well overall (33-for-67 = 49.3%), they shot 3-pointers very well (14-for-31 = 45.2%), and they shot free throws acceptably, just not very often (4-for-6 = 66.7%).  They lost the rebounding battle (40-37) and the turnover battle (13-6).  They lost this game with silly turnovers and fouls.  Iowa was 17-for-22 from the free throw line.

The game stats for the Northwestern game were also good.  Michigan shot very well overall (29-for-56 = 51.8%), they shot 3-pointers very well (10-for-22 = 45.5%), and they shot free throws pretty well (17-for-24 = 70.8%).  They won the rebounding battle handily (41-29), but lost the turnover battle badly (18-8).  They won this game with hot shooting and solid rebounding.  They almost lost it with all those turnovers and poor hustle.  NU seemed to get all the 50-50 balls.

Who Started?

The starters were Kobe Bufkin, Hunter Dickinson, Jett Howard, Dug McDaniel, and Terrance Williams II.

Who Looked Good?

What a week for Jett Howard!  He was on fire in the Iowa game, with 34 points (a career high) on decent shooting (12-for-22 overall, 7-for-13 from deep).  It’s a real shame that such a brilliant performance was wasted in a loss.  He also had 16 points vs. Northwestern.

Dickinson wasn’t much of a force offensively in either game, although he did hit double figures in both games: 12 and 10 points.  His bigger contribution this week was rebounding: 13 and 15, for a pair of double-doubles.

The most pleasant surprise this week was the emergence of McDaniel on the offensive end.  He has done a nice job running the point, but there were many games when he seemed scared or reluctant to shoot when he was open.  Not this week: he scored 12 points at Iowa (a career high), then topped it vs. Northwestern with 17 points.  He also had 7 and 5 assists, against only 1 and 3 turnovers.

Bufkin only hit double figures in one game, but he was the leading scorer, with 20 points vs. Northwestern.  He had 9 points at Iowa.  He was very efficient vs. Northwestern: 9-for-11 overall, 2-for-3 from 3-point range.

Tarris Reed, Jr. has become a key defensive player.  He has drawn the toughest assignments, and done a nice job.  Coach Howard has played both Reed and Dickinson at the same time for several stretches lately, and it’s worked out pretty well.  Reed doesn’t always score many points (2 and 6 this week), but he plays solid defense and grabs some rebounds.  He’s getting better every game.

Joey Baker chipped in 3 and 7 points this week, including a couple timely 3-pointers.

Will Tschetter is getting to play more, and he’s delivering.  He plays good, solid defense, and he even chips in some points: 7 and 4.  The only downside?  He gets out of control occasionally with cheap fouls.

Who Looked Not-So-Good?

Williams plays decent defense, and gets the occasional rebound, but he is next to worthless offensively.  He only had 5 points in each game.  Michigan needs more scoring from him.

Who Else Played?

Jace Howard played in the Northwestern game, but failed to score.

Who Didn’t Play?

Isaiah Barnes, Gregg Glenn III, and Youssef Khayat were the scholarship players who didn’t get to play this week.

Ian Burns, Jackson Selvala, and Cooper Smith were the practice squad players who didn’t get to play this week.

What Does It Mean?

Once again, Michigan just held even this week.  They were expected to lose at Iowa and beat Northwestern, and that’s what they did.  They are still looking for a win against a good, ranked team.

They still look a lot like an NIT team, not an NCAA Tournament team.

Mid-Term Grades

With 17 games down, and at least 15 left to go, it’s time for mid-term grades.

Freshman Eligibility

  • Gregg Glenn III (C) – Gregg hasn’t played much (4 games, 11 minutes), and he hasn’t scored much (6 points).  He hasn’t looked very comfortable out there in his limited action.
  • Jett Howard (A-) – Jett has started every game, and he’s looked good-to-great out there.  He is 2nd on the team in scoring average (15.5 points/game), and is 1st on the team by a lot in made 3-pointers (47).  He’s shooting a nice percentage overall (45.1%) and from deep (40.2%).  He’s fast, he’s strong, and he’s supremely confident.
  • Youssef Khayat (C+) – Youssef has played in 6 games, for a total of 31 minutes, and he’s scored 9 points.  He is 3-for-5 shooting 3-pointers.  He plays hard and fast, but not always under control.
  • Dug McDaniel (B+) – Dug went from a luxury to a necessity overnight when the main point guard (Jaelin Llewellyn) went down with a season-ending knee injury in Game #8 (see below).  He hadn’t done much up until that point, but since he’s been starting, he’s gotten better every game.  He’s 4th on the team in scoring average (7.1 points/game), and 1st on the team in assists (58).  Unfortunately, he’s 2nd on the team in turnovers (30).  He’s the fastest player on the team, and he’s fearless out there.
  • Tarris Reed, Jr. (B) – Tarris has become a defensive specialist who occasionally chips in some points.  He has played in all 17 games, has scored 57 points, and has grabbed 59 rebounds.  He’s another player who is improving every game.
  • Jackson Selvala (Inc.) – Jackson was a team manager who walked on as a player.  He is part of the practice squad.  He has played in 3 games for a total of 6 minutes, and he hasn’t scored yet.
  • Will Tschetter (B-) – Will was voluntarily redshirted last season, so he has freshman eligibility.  He’s played in 12 games, and scored 32 points.  He plays solid defense when he’s in.

Sophomore Eligibility

  • Isaiah Barnes (B-) – Isaiah has played in 11 games, and scored 14 points.  He’s looked pretty good when he’s out there, but he seems to be pretty far down the bench right now.
  • Kobe Bufkin (A-) – Kobe has started every game, and is 3rd on the team in scoring (12.6 points/game).  He acts as point guard when McDaniel isn’t out there, and he’s done a good job.
  • Ian Burns (Inc.) – Ian is on the practice squad, and has only played 3 games for 8 minutes, and hasn’t scored yet.
  • Cooper Smith (Inc.) – Cooper is on the practice squad, and has only played 2 games for 4 minutes, and hasn’t scored yet.

Junior Eligibility

  • Hunter Dickinson (A-) – Hunter is an enigma.  When he gets fired up, he’s the best player on the court, but he seems to just drift through the game much of the time.  Maybe it’s just his “game face”, but he often looks and acts disinterested or bored out there.  Still, he leads the team in scoring (17.8 points/game), shooting percentage (57.2%), rebounding (151), and blocked shots (29).  If only we could get him to play “fired up” more often…
  • Jace Howard (C) – Jace has found a role as a defensive specialist.  He’s played in 15 games, but only scored 20 points.  He occasionally tosses in 3-pointer; he’s 4-for-7 from deep this season.
  • Terrance Williams II (C-) – Terrance is the weak link on the team this season.  He’s started every game, and he’s a good defender and rebounder, but he’s not helping much on the offensive end: 7.0 points/game.

Senior Eligibility

  • Joey Baker (B-) – Joey has played in all 17 games, but he’s only averaging 4.6 points/game.  His role is “3 and D”, and he’s done pretty well shooting 3’s: 2nd on the team in made 3-pointers (19), shooting 38.3% from deep.
  • Jaelin Llewellyn (B-) – Jaelin did pretty well in the 8 games that he played before he suffered a season-ending knee injury.  He averaged 7.0 points/game, and had 22 assists against only 9 turnovers.  It’s a shame about his injury.

What’s Next?

This week, Michigan plays two games.  On Thursday (01/19/2023, 7:00 p.m., ESPN), they play at Maryland, then on Sunday (01/22/2023, 1:00 p.m., BTN), they play Minnesota in Crisler Arena.

Maryland is currently 11-6 (2-4 in Big Ten), with impressive wins over (#16) Illinois and (#24) Ohio State, and unimpressive losses to Wisconsin and Rutgers.  Michigan has already played Maryland this season, beating them soundly in Crisler Arena on New Year’s Day, 81-46.  None of the Maryland players looked very good in that game, but Donta Scott is their best player.  You can expect Maryland to be pretty fired up for this game, since Michigan embarrassed them last time.  It’s always tough to win on the road, and I expect this to be a tough game.

Minnesota is currently 7-8 (1-4 in Big Ten), with an impressive win over Ohio State, and unimpressive losses to DePaul, UNLV, Virginia Tech, Mississippi State, and Nebraska.  This is another team that Michigan has already played this season.  Michigan’s lone Big Ten game in early December (12/12/2022) was at Minnesota, and Michigan beat them easily, 90-75.  The final score was deceptive, since Michigan could have won by 25-30 points if they had wanted to.  If Michigan can trounce them on the road, they should be able to handle them at home.

Check back next week to find out what happened and why.

Go Blue!