Nothing But ‘Net – Week #01 – 11/10/2014 – Season Preview

Finally! It’s time for college basketball! After the disappointing UM football season, I’m ready for some basketball. The first game is tonight (11/10/2014) in Crisler Arena at 7:00. It’s an exhibition vs. Wayne State. The team also had an open practice last week (Wednesday, 11/05/2014), which I went to and enjoyed.

Here’s my standard description of this weekly column:

Yeah, it’s time for University of Michigan men’s basketball, and this is the place to read all about it: “Nothing But ‘Net” on UMGoBlue.com. Check back every Monday morning between now and the end of the season (hopefully the National Championship game again) for a quick, concise wrap-up of the previous week, and a look ahead at the upcoming week, all in one easy-to-read article.

As always here at UMGoBlue.com, the perspective is “by fans, for fans”. I’m a fan (since 1974), and I go to all the home games, and watch/listen to all the away games. I don’t have any special access (other than being an usher in Sections 209-210), I don’t go to the press conferences, and I don’t interview high school recruits. I see the same things you do, and write about them as a fan.

Once again, let’s get right to the big question:

How good is the 2014-2015 team going to be? The quick answer: pretty good.

The last couple of years, my answer has been “really good”, not “pretty good”. Last year, I was right: UM won the Big Ten title outright (by 3 games), and made it to the Elite Eight in the NCAA Tournament. This year, I don’t have my expectations set as high. For the third or fourth year in a row, Michigan has the same problem: extreme youth. That makes it hard to predict how good (or bad) Michigan will be. On the one hand, UM will lean heavily on 6 new freshmen, which can be a recipe for disaster. On the other hand, Coach Beilein has proven time and again that he can get great results from a young, inexperienced team. Michigan is ranked in the mid-20’s in all the preseason polls, and picked to finish 4th or 5th in the (newly expanded) Big Ten.

Read on for more details.

Last Season

Michigan ended last season with a record of 28-9 (15-3 in the Big Ten). They went 8-4 in non-conference play, with some good wins (Florida State, in San Juan, and Stanford, in Brooklyn), some understandable losses (at Iowa State, at Duke, and home vs. Arizona), and one disappointing loss (Charlotte, in San Juan). They won their first 8 Big Ten games, including big wins at Nebraska (their only home loss last year), at Wisconsin, home vs. Iowa, and at Michigan State, before they hit a rough patch. They lost 3 out of their next 5 games (at Indiana, at Iowa, and home vs. Wisconsin), before winning their last 5 games, which works out to 15-3 in league play.

They entered the Big Ten Tournament as the #1 seed, and made it to the championship game, where they got crushed by Michigan State.

They entered the NCAA Tournament as a #2 seed, and they made it to the Elite Eight, where they lost on a last-second shot to Kentucky.

The trouble with having a good team with good players is that those good players are enticed by the NBA to leave early. After the 2012-2013 season, UM lost Trey Burke and Tim Hardaway, Jr., who both got drafted in the 1st round. After last season, they lost 3 more stars: Mitch McGary, Glenn Robinson III, and Nik Stauskas. Stauskas (8th pick) and McGary (21st pick) went in the 1st round, and GR3 (40th pick), went in the 2nd round. Those 5 players were the starting 5 for Michigan when they played in the National Championship game in April 2013. That’s a lot of talent to lose.

Players Lost

Besides McGary, GR3, and Stauskas, Michigan lost 4 other players from last season’s team: 2 freshmen, 1 graduating senior, and 1 transfer:

McConnell and Anlauf were freshmen walk-ons on the practice squad, and they only played in “garbage time”. Other than a brief mention on UMHoops.com, I can’t find out anything else about their departure from the team. McConnell did have injury problems last season. He also wrote an amusing official blog for the team last season, and I’ll miss that.

Even though Horford was a senior, he had junior eligibility, due to a redshirt season (his sophomore season, with a broken foot). He is the 2nd player in as many years to use the “graduate transfer rule” that allows graduating seniors with a year of eligibility left to enroll in grad school at another school (as long as the new school has a program that the previous school doesn’t offer) and have instant eligibility, without having to sit out a “transfer year”. So, that’s what Horford is doing. It’s a shame he decided to leave, since he would have been the featured big man this season, with Morgan graduating and McGary leaving for the NBA.

Finally, there’s Jordan Morgan. What a great guy! He didn’t just graduate, he got his BS in Engineering, then got his Masters in Engineering. He was a mainstay defensively, and he always played hard, kept his mouth shut, and was a quiet leader. He will be missed.

Players Returning

Michigan has a very talented group of players returning this season. Here they are, by class year (eligibility):

Freshman Eligibility

Mark Donnal #34 (6’9″, 240 pounds, F) – Mark voluntarily redshirted last season, so he still has freshman eligibility. He practiced with the team all last season, and the word out of practice was that he gave Morgan and Horford all they could handle. He didn’t show much of that ability in the open practice, but he did show a lot of potential. He is certainly the best outside shooter that Beilein has had in a “big man” since he got to Michigan. He’ll be the starter at center, at least until someone beats him out.

Sophomore Eligibility

Andrew Dakich #11 (6’2″, 190 pounds, G) – Andrew was the leader of the practice squad (“The Bench Mob”) last season, especially during the games, when his reactions on the bench were often as exciting as the plays on the court. He only played in “garbage time” last season, but he looked pretty good in the open practice, and he might get some mainstream playing time this season. Note, he changed his number from 5 last season to 11 this season.

Zak Irvin #21 (6’6″, 215 pounds, G/F) – Zak put on 15 pounds of muscle in the off-season, and you can’t miss the new look. He was “just a shooter” last season, and he was very good at it, but we’re expecting to see a more complete game from his this season. He should be one of the stars, and one of the leading scorers in most games.

Sean Lonergan #20 (6’5″, 200 pounds, F) – Sean is the other returning member of last season’s “Bench Mob”. He only played in “garbage time” last season, and I expect more of the same this season. He looked good in the open practice, but there’s a lot of talent ahead of him.

Duncan Robinson #22 (6’8″, 190 pounds, G/F) – Duncan is a transfer from (Division III) Williams College. He’ll have to sit out this season, and he’ll have sophomore eligibility next season. He was a great scorer at Williams. We’ll see how that translates to Division I basketball next season.

Derrick Walton Jr. #10 (6’0″, 185 pounds, G) – Derrick had a very good freshman season, but he was following a tough act (Trey Burke), and he was on a team with 3 future NBA players. I expect him to be a bigger part of the offense this season, and if he shows the same improvement between his freshman and sophomore seasons that previous players have under Beilein (Darius Morris, Trey Burke, and Nik Stauskas, for example), he’ll be another star and leading scorer on the team.

Junior Eligibility

Michael (“Spike”) Albrecht #2 (5’11”, 175 pounds, G) – Spike is one of the oldest and most experienced players on this team, and one of the leaders. He’ll back up Walton at point guard, and chip in the occasional big 3-pointer.

Max Bielfeldt #44 (6’7″, 245 pounds, F) – Max was voluntarily redshirted his freshman year, so he has junior eligibility. He’s a big, strong player, and he did pretty well last year. He is the only big man on the team with any experience in a college game, so he’ll get some playing time, especially early in the season, while the young big men are learning the game.

Caris LeVert #23 (6’7″, 200 pounds, G) – Caris grew another inch and put on another 15 pounds since last season, for the second year in a row. He’s certainly the most versatile player on the team, and he should be one of the stars and leading scorers.

Senior Eligibility

None. Bielfeldt is listed on the official roster as a senior, but he still has junior eligibility. Listing him as a senior just means that he probably won’t be invited back for his redshirt senior year. Maybe he’ll use the “graduate transfer rule” next year?

New Players

Coach Beilein brought in another interesting recruiting class. While it isn’t as highly-ranked as the last couple classes, it fills in the gaps on the roster quite nicely:

Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman #12 (6’4″, 175 pounds, G) – From here on, he’s either going to be “MAAR” or “Rahk” (his nickname on the team). Rahk was a late signing by Coach Beilein. He looked good in the open practice, and he should be part of the regular rotation.

Kameron Chatman #3 (6’7″, 210 pounds, G/F) – Kameron is the highest-ranked recruit in this class. He has already earned a starting spot, and he showed us why in the open practice. He looked “college ready”.

Aubrey Dawkins #24 (6’6″, 190 pounds, G/F) – Aubrey has been a nice surprise. He was another late signing by Coach Beilein, and it’s hard to figure out why so few other schools were interested in him. He’s got good size, a sweet shot, and great basketball IQ. The other players say that he’s the best leaper and dunker on the team. He continues the recent trend of sons of former NBA players coming to UM (GR3, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jon Horford, and Jordan Dumars). Aubrey’s father is Johnny Dawkins, who played at Duke and in the NBA, and now coaches Stanford.

Ricky Doyle #32 (6’9″, 245 pounds, F) – Ricky is yet another big man, giving Michigan lots of depth and options at the power forward and center positions. He has a 7’2″ wingspan, and can play with his back to the basket. He looked OK in the open practice, and he’ll get his chance at center. He’s a “banger” underneath, where Donnal is more of a “finesse” player.

Austin Hatch #30 (6’6″, 215 pounds, G) – Austin is an interesting story. He committed to Michigan on 06/15/2011, then was in a plane crash 10 days later that killed his father and stepmother, and critically injured him. He was in intensive care for a couple months, and missed a lot of high school, so he was given an extra year of high school eligibility, and moved his college commitment to 2014. He has recovered enough to play limited minutes on his high school team, but it remains to be seen if he will ever be able to play Division 1 basketball. He’ll get his chance at Michigan. He had very limited participation in the open practice, and he didn’t look ready to play yet. He may end up with a career-long medical redshirt.

DJ Wilson #5 (6’8″, 200 pounds, F) – DJ sounds like another GR3. He’s athletic, he can shoot the 3-pointer, and he runs the floor well. He was a crowd favorite at the open practice, especially when he swatted a shot in the lane, which is his specialty. He’s another player with a wingspan much greater than his height: 7’3″

The key freshmen are Chatman, Donnal, and Doyle. They will need to grow up quickly.

This Season

Let’s take a look at Michigan’s schedule for this season:

Date Opponent Location Time (ET)
11/10/2014 (Mon) Wayne State (exh) Ann Arbor, MI 7:00 p.m.
11/15/2014 (Sat) Hillsdale College Ann Arbor, MI 2:00 p.m.
Legends Classic – Ann Arbor Regional
11/17/2014 (Mon) Bucknell Ann Arbor, MI 8:00 p.m.
11/20/2014 (Thu) Detroit-Mercy Ann Arbor, MI 6:00 p.m.
Legends Classic – Championship
11/24/2014 (Mon) Oregon Brooklyn, NY 9:00 p.m.
11/25/2014 (Tue) Villanova/Virginia Common. Brooklyn, NY TBA
11/29/2014 (Sat) Nicholls State Ann Arbor, MI 4:00 p.m.
ACC/Big Ten Challenge
12/02/2014 (Tue) Syracuse Ann Arbor, MI 7:30 p.m.
12/06/2014 (Sat) New Jersey Inst. Of Tech. Ann Arbor, MI 12:00 p.m.
12/09/2014 (Tue) Eastern Michigan Ann Arbor, MI 9:00 p.m.
12/13/2014 (Sat) Arizona Tucson, AZ 5:15 p.m.
12/20/2014 (Sat) SMU Ann Arbor, MI 12:00 p.m.
12/22/2014 (Mon) Coppin State Ann Arbor, MI 8:00 p.m.
12/30/2014 (Tue) Illinois Ann Arbor, MI 3:00 p.m.
01/03/2015 (Sat) Purdue West Lafayette, IN 2:15 p.m.
01/06/2015 (Tue) Penn State State College, PA 7:00 p.m.
01/10/2015 (Sat) Minnesota Ann Arbor, MI 12:00/1:00 p.m.
01/13/2015 (Tue) Ohio State Columbus, OH 7:00 p.m.
01/17/2015 (Sat) Northwestern Ann Arbor, MI 8:15 p.m.
01/20/2015 (Tue) Rutgers Piscataway, NJ 6:30 p.m.
01/24/2015 (Sat) Wisconsin Ann Arbor, MI 4:00/7:00 p.m.
01/27/2015 (Tue) Nebraska Ann Arbor, MI 7:00 p.m.
02/01/2015 (Sun) Michigan State East Lansing, MI 1:00 p.m.
02/05/2015 (Thu) Iowa Ann Arbor, MI 7:00 p.m.
02/08/2015 (Sun) Indiana Bloomington, IN 1:00 p.m.
02/12/2015 (Thu) Illinois Champaign, IL 9:00 p.m.
02/17/2015 (Tue) Michigan State Ann Arbor, MI 9:00 p.m.
02/22/2015 (Sun) Ohio State Ann Arbor, MI 1:00/3:00/5:15
02/28/2015 (Sat) Maryland College Park, MD TBA
03/03/2015 (Tue) Northwestern Evanston, IL 9:00 p.m.
03/07/2015 (Sat) Rutgers Ann Arbor, MI 12:00/2:15 p.m.
Big Ten Tournament
03/11/2015 (Wed) Opening Round Indianapolis, IN TBA
03/12/2015 (Thu) 1st Round Indianapolis, IN TBA
03/13/2015 (Fri) 2nd Round Indianapolis, IN TBA
03/14/2015 (Sat) Semifinals Indianapolis, IN TBA
03/15/2015 (Sun) Championship Indianapolis, IN 3:30 p.m.

Some comments on the schedule:

  • Both Villanova (#12) and Virginia Commonwealth (#15) are ranked, so the 2nd round game in Brooklyn will be a tough test.
  • Syracuse is ranked #23, just ahead of Michigan, so that should be a good game.
  • Arizona is ranked #2. That game, in Tucson, will be a real challenge.
  • There are 2 tough stretches in the schedule:
    • The 3 games starting on 01/24: home vs. Wisconsin, home vs. Nebraska, and at MSU.
    • The 3 games starting on 02/17: home vs. MSU, home vs. OSU, and at Maryland.
  • With the newly expanded Big Ten (now 14 teams, with Maryland and Rutgers), each team plays 8 teams once and 5 teams twice, for a total of 18 games. This season, Michigan plays:
    • Once: Purdue (away), Penn State (away), Minnesota (home), Wisconsin (home), Nebraska (home), Iowa (home), Indiana (away), Maryland (away).
    • Twice: Illinois, Ohio State, Northwestern, Rutgers, Michigan State.

Expectations

I like to divide the games up into 3 categories (“Should Win”, “Should Lose”, and “Toss Up”):

  • Should Win (15) – Hillsdale, Bucknell, Detroit-Mercy, Nicholls State, NJIT, Eastern Michigan, SMU, Coppin State, Illinois (home), Penn State, Minnesota, Northwestern (home), Rutgers (away), Northwestern (away), Rutgers (home).
  • Should Lose (3) – Arizona, Ohio State (away), Michigan State (away).
  • Toss Up (12) – Oregon, 2nd round Legends Classic, Syracuse, Purdue, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Iowa, Indiana, Illinois (away), Michigan State (home), Ohio State (home), Maryland.

That’s a lot more “Toss Up” games than usual, due to the unpredictable nature of a team that will lean on freshmen so heavily. If UM can win all 15 of the “Should Win” games, and half of the 12 “Toss Up” games, that would give them a record of 21-9 (12-6 in the Big Ten). That won’t be good enough to win the Big Ten, but it will get UM a good seed in the NCAA Tournament.

This Week

As you can see in the schedule above, Michigan’s first (exhibition) game is tonight (Monday, 11/10/2014, 7:00 p.m., BTN Plus) vs. Wayne State. Of course, UM will win handily, and get to try all kinds of combinations of players out there. Come on down to Crisler Arena to check out this season’s edition of Michigan Basketball, and stop by sections 209/210 to say hi.

Go Blue!

Nothing But ‘Net – Week #24 – 04/07/2014 – Season Wrap-Up, Final Grades, Looking Ahead

Season Wrap-Up

 

The season is over for the University of Michigan men’s basketball team, and it was a good one. Not a great one, but certainly better than most. On the positive side, they:

 

 

There were a few bumps along the way. On the negative side, they:

 

 

Out of the 9 losses, only the Charlotte and Indiana losses were “bad” losses. The others were very understandable/forgivable:

 

  • At Iowa State. ISU was much better than expected, and they seldom lose at home.
  • At (#10) Duke, as part of the ACC/Big Ten Challenge. No surprise here. Cameron Indoor Stadium is one of the toughest places in the country to play.
  • At home vs. (#1) Arizona. Michigan had a decent lead with 2 minutes left, and couldn’t make a defensive stop to hold it. They lost by 2 points (72-70) in the closing seconds.
  • At (#17) Iowa. This was Iowa’s last good game, as they lost 7 of their last 9 games.
  • At home vs. (#21) Wisconsin. This was the start of Wisconsin’s amazing run at the end of the season that took them to the Final Four.
  • In the championship game of the Big Ten Tournament, in Indianapolis, vs. (#22) Michigan State. It’s hard to beat the same team 3 times in one season.
  • In the Elite Eight, again in Indianapolis, vs. Kentucky. Another last second basket.

 

All the wins were important, but some were more impressive than the others:

 

  • Florida State, in the Puerto Rico Tip-Off tournament. Michigan won 82-80 in overtime, after trailing for most of the game.
  • Stanford, in the Brooklyn Hoops Holiday Invitational. Another close game: UM won 68-65.
  • At Minnesota. This was Michigan’s first Big Ten game, and it’s hard to win at The Barn. Yet another close game: UM won 63-60.
  • At Nebraska. Nebraska was the surprise team in the Big Ten this season, finishing 4th in the league, and making it to the Big Dance. They also went 15-1 overall (8-1 in the Big Ten) at home, with their only loss to Michigan, 71-70. Michigan was lucky to win this one, since Nebraska missed 2 short shots in the last 3 seconds.
  • At (#3) Wisconsin. This was perhaps the biggest win of the season. Wisconsin is almost unbeatable at home, but Michigan beat them convincingly, 77-70.
  • At home vs. (#10) Iowa. This was the next game after the win at Wisconsin. Michigan won handily, 75-67.
  • At (#3) Michigan State. If the win at Wisconsin was Michigan’s #1 win, this one was #1a. It’s almost as tough to win in the Breslin Center as it is to win at the Kohl Center, but Michigan did it, 80-75.
  • At (#22) Ohio State. It’s also tough to win in Columbus, but Michigan pulled it off, 70-60.
  • At home vs. (#13) Michigan State. This was the game that put Michigan solidly in control of the Big Ten title race. It was great to sweep the Spartans in the regular season. Michigan won handily, 79-70.
  • At home vs. Indiana. Sure, Indiana had a down year, and sure, Michigan had already clinched the undisputed Big Ten title, but this game was very important for several reasons:
    • Indiana had upset Michigan earlier in the season, in Bloomington.
    • Indiana had swept Michigan last season.
    • Michigan wanted some momentum going into postseason play.
    • Michigan wanted to get as high a seed as possible in the NCAA Tournament.
    • (The most important) It was Senior Night, and Michigan wanted to send their only senior, Jordan Morgan, out with a win. UM had lost their last 2 Senior Nights (their only home losses in the previous 2 seasons), and they didn’t want to let Jordan down. They didn’t, and Jordan helped make sure that Michigan won, 84-80.
  • (#24) Ohio State, in the semifinals of the Big Ten Tournament. Michigan survived a last-second miss by good old Aaron Craft, and won 72-69.
  • Texas, in the 3rd round of the NCAA Tournament. This win (79-65) sent Michigan to the Sweet Sixteen, a notable milestone.
  • Tennessee, in the 4th round of the NCAA Tournament. This was another close win (73-71), and it sent Michigan into the Elite Eight, another important achievement.

 

That’s a lot of big, important wins, including a lot of close games and a lot of road wins in tough arenas. In particular, the 3-game stretch where Michigan beat #3 Wisconsin on the road, #10 Iowa in Ann Arbor, then #3 Michigan State on the road, was very impressive.

 

Season Team Stats

 

So, why did Michigan do so well this season? Shooting, especially 3-point shooting. As a team, they shot 47.7% overall, and 40.2% from 3-point range. They jacked up almost 800 3-pointers (794), and made 319 of them. That’s impressive.

 

So, why didn’t Michigan win all their games this season? Defense, especially interior defense. Once teams figured out that they could drive to the basket on Michigan, they did it early and often. The biggest problem was the rule change this year dealing with the always-controversial block/charge call. The new interpretation made it very hard to get a charge called, which gave a big advantage to the “bully” offenses (I’m looking at you, MSU).

 

The other problem Michigan had all year was rebounding. For the season, Michigan barely won the rebounding battle, 1160-1154, and that includes all the non-conference “cupcakes” that Michigan played before they hit the big, bad Big Ten. In conference games, they lost the season rebounding battle, 535-537. Fortunately, the Beilein system doesn’t depend too much on rebounding.

 

The Beilein system does depend on low turnovers, and Michigan did a good job there. They won the season turnover battle, 345-398. That works out to about 9.32 turnovers per game, which is very good.

 

The Beilein system also depends on assists, and Michigan did well there as well. They had 525 assists, which is 14.19 per game.

 

Season Individual Stats

 

The undisputed star of this season’s team was sophomore Nik Stauskas. He led the team in scoring (630 points = 17.5 points/game), he led the team in assists (118), he led the team in made 3-pointers (92), and the led the team in 3-point shooting percentage (92/208 = 44.2%). He hit double figures in 32 of the 36 games he played in, and he was the leading scorer for Michigan in 23 games. He was named Big Ten Player of the Year, and named to every All-American team. He was awesome.

 

The biggest (good) surprise on this season’s team was sophomore Caris LeVert. Last season, he was going to be redshirted, then he was un-redshirted after the first 7 games. He was lightly used last season, and he showed moments of potential, but nothing to indicate what was to come. This season, he was easily the most improved player on the team, and possibly in the entire Big Ten. He was the 3rd leading scorer on the team (478 points = 12.9 points/game), he was 2nd in assists (109), 3rd in made 3-pointers (60), and 1st in steals (44).

 

The most puzzling player on the team this season was sophomore Glenn Robinson III. When he was good, he was very good, but when he disappeared, he was invisible. Still, he managed to be the 2nd leading scorer on the team (484 points = 13.1 points/game), the 2nd leading rebounder, and 2nd in steals (35). He was the leading scorer in 5 games, but he was held under 10 points in 9 of the 37 games he played in.

 

On a young team, Jordan Morgan, the only (5th year) senior, provided brilliant leadership. He also had some nice stats: he led the team in shooting percentage (98/140 = 70.0%), and he led the team in rebounding (185), including a team-best 72 offensive rebounds. He only scored 235 points (6.4 points/game), but he scored important points.

 

The only freshman starter on the team was Derrick Walton Jr. He had a pretty good season, but he had a tough act to follow: last season’s starting point guard, and national Player of the Year, Trey Burke. Derrick isn’t Trey Burke, and he probably never will be, because players like Trey Burke only come around once in a generation. Derrick is a different kind of point guard, and he had a fine season statistically. He was the 5th leading scorer on the team, with 294 points (7.9 points/game). He was 3rd in assists (106), 3rd in steals (21), and 3rd in 3-point shooting percentage (43/105 = 41.0%).

 

The other scholarship freshman on the team was Zak Irvin. He also had a pretty good season, in his role as 6th man. When he came in, his assignment was clear: shoot 3-pointers. He only averaged 15.4 minutes per game, but he made the 2nd most 3-pointers on the team (62), and had the 2nd best 3-point shooting percentage (62/146 = 42.5%).

 

Michigan didn’t have much of a bench this season, with only 3 players seeing much playing time besides the 5 starters (Stauskas, LeVert, GR3, Morgan, and Walton): Irvin, Spike Albrecht, and Jon Horford. Spike, another sophomore, was the 2nd string point guard, and he did all right on offense, but he was a step slower than Walton on defense, and had trouble guarding quick point guards. None of his stats jump out: 40.4% overall shooting, 38.7% shooting 3-pointers, 75 assists, only 16 turnovers. Horford was the 2nd string center, and as a junior, he was the only other upperclassman on the team. He did help Morgan with the leadership thing, and he did have a few games where he made a difference, but he wasn’t nearly as consistent as Morgan. His only meaningful stats were that he had the 2nd best overall shooting percentage (62/110 = 56.4%), and he led the team in blocked shots, with 26.

 

The only other player to play more than a few minutes was redshirt sophomore Max Bielfeldt, who played in 19 of the 37 games, backing up Morgan and Horford when they had foul trouble, which was often. In those 19 games, he scored 15 points and got 20 rebounds.

 

Finally, there was The Bench Mob: freshmen Brad Anlauf, Andrew Dakich, Sean Lonergan, and Cole McConnell. They were the practice squad, and they played in just a few games, usually in “garbage time” for the last 2 minutes of a blowout win (or loss). They certainly provided lots of enthusiasm on the bench during the games, especially Dakich. Dakich played in the most games (12), McConnell the fewest (4, he broke his foot). Lonergan scored the most points (6), Anlauf the fewest (2, he was also injured).

 

Final Grades

 

Since I described each of the players above, I’ll just list their grades:

 

Freshmen:

 

  • Brad Anlauf – Incomplete
  • Andrew Dakich – Incomplete
  • Zak Irvin – B
  • Sean Lonergan – Incomplete
  • Cole McConnell – Incomplete
  • Derrick Walton, Jr. – B

 

Sophomores:

 

  • Spike Albrecht – B
  • Max Bielfeldt – C
  • Caris LeVert – A
  • Mitch McGary – Incomplete
  • Glenn Robinson III – B
  • Nik Stauskas – A+

 

Junior:

 

  • Jon Horford – B-

 

Senior:

 

  • Jordan Morgan – A-

 

Coach:

 

 

Looking Ahead

 

At this point, Coach Beilein has rebuilt the program so that it’s a matter of reloading, not rebuilding. This season’s team was one of the youngest in the NCAA, with only one junior and one senior. In theory, Jordan Morgan is the only player leaving the team, as he graduates with a BS in Industrial and Operations Engineering and a Masters in Manufacturing Engineering. However, three of Michigan’s sophomores could leave school early for the upcoming NBA Draft:

 

  • Mitch McGary – Mitch only played in 8 games this season, before he had surgery on his back. He has rehabbed to the point where he can practice with the team, but he hasn’t played in a live game in almost 4 months. While the NBA wanted him after his incredible NCAA Tournament run last season, they’re a little more hesitant now. I’m betting that he’ll come back for one more season at Michigan, to show the NBA scouts what he can do when he’s recovered from the surgery.
  • Glenn Robinson III – GR3 had a very inconsistent regular season, and his draft stock dropped. However, he did pick up his game in the Big Ten and NCAA Tournaments, so he might be back in the 1st round of the NBA draft. However, I’m betting that he’s returning as well, to show the NBA scouts that he can be dominant in every game.
  • Nik Stauskas – Nik went from “only a shooter” at the beginning of last season to the Big Ten Player of the Year, and an All-American. He would certainly be picked in the 1st round of the NBA draft, if he decided to leave school early. On the other hand, he seems to really enjoy the college experience, and he seems close to his teammates. I’m betting that he’ll leave early, and declare for the draft next week, but I would love to be wrong.

 

If all three players return next season, Michigan will be a heavy favorite to get to the Final Four. If only Stauskas leaves, they will still be highly rated. If all three leave, it’ll be a rebuilding year.

 

Regardless of which of the sophomores leave or stay, Michigan has another top-rated incoming freshman class:

 

  • Kameron Chatman – 6′ 6″, 175 pounds, Wing. Kameron is the highest-ranked recruit in this class. He has the size and athleticism to be another Caris LeVert.
  • Ricky Doyle – 6′ 9″, 230 pounds, Forward/Center. Ricky is yet another big man, giving Michigan lots of depth and options at the power forward and center positions. He has a 7′ 2″ wingspan, and can play with his back to the basket.
  • Austin Hatch – 6′ 6″, 215 pounds, Wing. Austin is an interesting story. He committed to Michigan on 06/15/2011, then was in a plane crash 10 days later that killed his father and stepmother, and critically injured him. He was in intensive care for a couple months, and missed a lot of high school, so he was given an extra year of high school eligibility, and moved his college commitment to 2014. He has recovered enough to play limited minutes on his high school team, but it remains to be seen if he will ever be able to play Division 1 basketball. He’ll get his chance at Michigan.
  • DJ Wilson – 6′ 8″, 200 pounds, Forward. DJ sounds like another GR3. He’s athletic, he can shoot the 3-pointer, and he runs the floor well.

 

It seems pretty likely that Hatch will redshirt for his freshman year, and if McGary comes back, there will be a real logjam with all the big men. Besides McGary and Horford, there’s redshirt freshman Mark Donnal (6′ 9″, 230 pounds), and incoming freshmen Doyle and Wilson. I wouldn’t be surprised it both of the freshmen big men redshirt as well.

 

Well, that’s it for this season. Be sure to check back again next fall, a week before the first game of the season, for the season preview.

 

Go Blue!

Big Ten Report – Week #14 – Postseason Tournaments, Part 3 (04/07/2014)

Results

Here are the results from last week’s games, in the NCAA Tournament and the National Invitation Tournament (NIT):

 

Tuesday (04/01/2014)

NIT Semifinals: (#1) Minnesota beat (#1) Florida State, 67-64 (overtime)

 

Thursday (04/03/2014)

NIT Championship: (#1) Minnesota beat (#1) SMU, 65-63. Congratulations!

 

Saturday (04/05/2014)

NCAA Semifinals: (#2 West) Wisconsin lost to (#8 Midwest) Kentucky, 74-73

 

At this point, all the Big Ten teams are done playing.

 

The Big Ten’s record in the NCAA Tournament was 10-6, in the NIT it was 6-1, and in the CBI (College Basketball Invitational) it was 1-1, for a total record of 17-8.

Nothing But ‘Net – Week #23 – 03/31/2014 – (Elite) Eight Is Enough

The (#7) University of Michigan men’s basketball team played two games this week in the NCAA Tournament in Indianapolis, and they won the first and lost the second. They were the #2 seed in the Midwest Region. On Friday (03/28/2014), they beat the #11 seed, Tennessee, 73-71, then on Sunday (03/30/2014), they lost to the #8 seed, Kentucky, 75-72. The win and the loss leave Michigan with a final record of 28-9. Unfortunately, the loss knocks Michigan out of the tournament, just one game short of a 2nd consecutive Final Four.

While it’s certainly disappointing that UM got knocked out of the tournament, they did much better than anyone could have predicted in mid-December. At that point, they had just lost a 2-point heartbreaker (72-70) at home to then #1 Arizona, and their record was 6-4. Just a few days later, their preseason All-American center, Mitch McGary, announced that he was going to have surgery on his ailing back, and he was done for the season. Things looked dismal for this season’s team, but they pulled it together and:

  • Won the Big Ten regular season championship by 3 games.
  • Got to (and lost) the Big Ten tournament championship game.
  • Earned a #2 seed in the NCAA Tournament.
  • Made it to the Elite Eight for the 2nd year in a row.

Not bad.

Both games this week were close and exciting, with both game decided in the last few seconds. The 1st half of the Tennessee game was a see-saw battle until the 10:00 mark, when Michigan went on a nice 25-13 run to end the half up 45-34. Michigan kept the lead around 11 points for the first half of the 2nd half, then UT started slowly cutting into it. Still, UM had a 10-point lead (70-60) with 3:40 to go, and it looked like they could hold UT off. Although they never lost the lead, they did let it shrink down to 1 point (72-71) with 10 second left, then they hit a free throw and kept Tennessee from getting off a shot. It was a narrow escape, but that’s all you need in a single-elimination tournament.

Michigan got an early lead on Kentucky, and managed to stay ahead or tied for the whole 1st half. The game was tied (37-37) at halftime, and UK finally got a lead in the 2nd half. The game was another see-saw affair, with both teams opening up small leads, before the other team came back to tie it up or go ahead. It was tied (72-72) with 27 seconds left, and UK got the last shot. They made it, with only 2.6 seconds left, and UM didn’t have time to get off a good shot to tie it. It was a sad way to end an amazing season. It really felt like Michigan was a Team of Destiny, but the basketball gods didn’t see it that way.

One last time: Stats? Stats!

In the Tennessee game, Michigan shot pretty well overall (27/49 = 55.1%), they shot 3-pointers very well (11/20 = 55.0%), and they shot free throws very well (8/10 = 80.0%). They lost the rebounding battle (barely: 26-28) and the turnover battle (13-7). It was the turnover margin that made the game close.

The stats for the Kentucky game are a lot less impressive. Michigan didn’t shoot very well overall (27/57 = 47.4%), they didn’t shoot very well from 3-point range (7/18 = 38.9%), but they did shoot free throws pretty well (11/14 = 78.6%). As expected, they got hammered on the boards (35-24), but they won the turnover battle (7-11). The game was lost on the boards.

Individually, 3 Michigan players hit double figures in both games:

  • Jordan Morgan – 15 points vs. Tennessee and 11 points vs. Kentucky. Jordan was the leading scorer for UM in the UT game.
  • Glenn Robinson III – 13 and 14 points. GR3 hit all his 3-pointers this week: 1-for-1 vs. UT, and 2-for-2 vs. UK.
  • Nik Stauskas. 14 and 24 points. Nik had a tough time with his 3-point shot in both games: 3-for-8 vs. UT, and 2-for-7 vs. UK.

Caris LeVert hit double figures (10 points) in the Tennessee game, but fell just a little short (9 points) in the Kentucky game.

5 other players scored in at least one game, just not in double figures:

Max Bielfeldt played in the Kentucky game, but didn’t score.

 

This Week

Michigan is done for the season, but I’m not. Check back next week for the Season Wrap-Up, Final Grades, and a Look Ahead To Next Season.

Go Blue!

Big Ten Report – Week #13 – Postseason Tournaments, Part 2 (03/31/2014)

Results

Here are the results from last week’s games, in the NCAA Tournament, the National Invitation Tournament (NIT), and the College Basketball Invitational (CBI) :

 

Monday (03/24/2014)

CBI Quarterfinals: Penn State lost to Siena, 54-52

 

Tuesday (03/25/2014)

NIT 3rd Round: (#1) Minnesota beat (#3) Southern Mississippi, 81-73

 

Thursday (03/27/2014)

NCAA 4th Round, West: (#2) Wisconsin beat (#6) Baylor, 69-52

 

Friday (03/28/2014)

NCAA 4th Round, Midwest: (#2) Michigan beat (#11) Tennessee, 73-71

NCAA 4th Round, East: (#4) Michigan State beat (#1) Virginia, 61-59

 

Saturday (03/29/2014)

NCAA 5th Round, West: (#2) Wisconsin beat (#1) Arizona, 64-63 (overtime)

 

Sunday (03/30/2014)

NCAA 5th Round, East: (#4) Michigan State lost to (#7) Connecticut, 60-54

NCAA 5th Round, Midwest: (#2) Michigan lost to (#8) Kentucky, 75-72

 

At this point, the Big Ten has 2 teams left alive in postseason play: 1 team left alive in the NCAA Tournament, and 1 team left alive in the NIT.

 

The Big Ten’s record in the NCAA Tournament is 10-5, in the NIT it’s 4-1, and in the CBI it’s 1-1, for a total record of 15-7.

 

The Upcoming Week

Here are the 2 Big Ten teams left alive in postseason tournaments:

 

Minnesota – NIT, #1 seed in the Minnesota quadrant

Wisconsin – NCAA, #2 seed in the West

 

Here’s the schedule for this week:

 

Tuesday (04/01/2014)

NIT Semifinals: (#1) Minnesota vs. (#1) Florida State

 

Saturday (04/05/2014)

NCAA Semifinals: (#2 West) Wisconsin vs. (#8 Midwest) Kentucky