2025 University of Michigan Football Season Predictions

Yeah, it’s me, the “basketball guy”, back for more.  It’s time for my annual attempt to predict how the University of Michigan’s football season is going to go.

Last Season (2024)

My Prediction: 10-2 (8-1 in Big Ten)

Actual Results: 7-5 (5-4 in Big Ten)

Comments:  Well, I was way off with last year’s predictions.  The only prediction I got right was the loss to Texas.  I was happy to be wrong with my prediction that we’d lose to Ohio State.  Three of the other four losses (at Washington, at Illinois, Oregon, and at Indiana) probably should have been wins, except for Oregon.  With a functional quarterback, they might have been.  Sigh.

This Season (2025)

My Prediction: 10-2 (8-1 in Big Ten)

Comments: This is another really tough season to predict.  Once again, Michigan is entering the season without a proven quarterback, which is always scary.  On the other hand, I’m expecting big things from Bryce Underwood, so maybe…

I expect the defense to be good-to-great, and the offense to be improved from last season. I’m expecting the offense line to be improved, but still not great, the running game to be a little less effective than last season’s, and the passing game to be much better than last season’s.

The two losses?  At Oklahoma and home vs. Ohio State.  Yeah, I know, I keep picking Michigan to lose to Ohio State, and they keep beating them.  I’m just afraid that our “magic” (luck?) has run out.  I think we might be good enough to beat Oklahoma at the end of the season, but Week #2 with a freshman quarterback is not a good situation.

Go Blue!

Nothing But ‘Net – Week #26 – 04/07/2025 – Season Wrap-Up, Final Grades, And Looking Ahead

The (#14) University of Michigan men’s basketball 2024-2025 season is over.  They finished the season with a record of 27-10 (14-6 in Big Ten).  They finished tied for 2nd place in the regular season standings, won the Big Ten Tournament, and made it to the Sweet Sixteen in the NCAA Tournament.

Season Wrap-Up

This season was a rousing success, far exceeding the expectations of most of the experts.  With a new head coach and coaching staff, and a mostly new roster, no one knew quite what to expect.  The previous season (2023-2024) was a miserable failure (8-24), and no one expected such a complete turnaround.

The two exhibition games gave us some idea of the firepower that Michigan had.  They beat Oakland 92-48 in Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, then they beat Toledo 96-92 in Crisler Arena.  They beat Cleveland State 101-53 in Crisler Arena, then they took their first loss, 72-70, against Wake Forest in Greensboro, NC.  This was the first of three very close losses in the non-conference portion of the schedule.

Next, they won three games in a row in Crisler Arena:  Texas Christian (TCU) 76-64, Miami (OH) 94-67, and Tarleton State 72-49.  They played in the Fort Myers Tip-Off tournament over the Thanksgiving break, and they won it by beating Virginia Tech (75-63) and (#22) Xavier (78-53).

Michigan won their two early-December Big Ten games, which was a huge boost.  In particular, they beat a very good (#11) Wisconsin team on the road, 67-64.  That was a huge win.  They followed it up with an important win over Iowa (85-83) in Crisler Arena.

Now for the bad news: Michigan had two good chances to knock off quality opponents on neutral courts, and they lost both games, but just barely.  They played in the Jimmy V Classic in Madison Square Garden against Arkansas, and they lost 89-87.  The next week, they played in the Jumpman Invitational in Charlotte, NC, against (#14) Oklahoma, and they lost 87-86.

They had two more non-conference games against lesser opponents, both in Crisler Arena, and they won both of them easily: 89-58 against Purdue-Fort Wayne, and 112-64 against Western Kentucky.

So, Michigan entered 2025 with a non-conference record of 8-3, and a Big Ten record of 2-0.  They started the main part of the Big Ten schedule on the road, far from home, in Los Angeles.  This was the first time for Michigan to play USC and UCLA as conference games, and Michigan beat both of them!  They beat USC 85-74, then they beat (#22) UCLA 94-75.  These were two huge wins.  USC finished tied for 12th place in the Big Ten, so that win doesn’t look quite as impressive as it did at the time, but UCLA finished tied for 4th place, so that was a quality win.  Michigan State won the Big Ten regular season championship with a 17-3 record, and two of those losses were in Los Angeles, playing USC and UCLA back-to-back.

Michigan returned home from their West Coast swing, and played yet another of the new Big Ten teams, Washington, and they won handily, 91-75.  Things were looking great: they were undefeated (5-0) in the Big Ten, tied for 1st place, and they were playing their best basketball of the season.  A road game at last-place Minnesota?  No problem, right?  Wrong.  This was Michigan’s worst game of the season, and their only “bad loss”.  They didn’t take Minnesota seriously, and they let them hang around.  They went to overtime, and it looked like it was going to double overtime, but Minnesota hit a half-court buzzer-beater, and beat Michigan 84-81.  Ugh.

Back home again, facing lowly Northwestern, and Michigan hung on for a close 80-76 win.  Back on the road, at (#11) Purdue, where Michigan has had very little success over the years.  This was other Michigan’s “worst game of the season”.  Purdue came out of the gate on fire, and the game was essentially over by the second media timeout.  Purdue was up 29-9 at the 11:18 mark, and Michigan never got close the rest of the game.  The final was 91-64, Purdue.  It was a bloodbath.

Last season, that would have been it for Michigan, losing 2 out of 3 games, the second one by 27 points.  They would have gone through the motions for the rest of the season, and maybe snuck in one more win, but they would have been checked out.  Not this season.  Instead, they went on a 6-game winning streak, all by 4 points or less:

There are a couple noteworthy wins in there.  Oregon had been in the Top 25 for most of the season, but they had just dropped out of the Top 25 when they came to Ann Arbor.  By beating them, Michigan went 4-0 for the season against the four new West Coast additions to the Big Ten.  It always tough for Michigan to win at Indiana and Ohio State, so those were both big rivalry wins.  The biggest win of this stretch was beating Top-10 Purdue.  It was a great victory.

So, time for the homestretch.  At this point, Michigan was 12-2 in the Big Ten, all alone in 1st place, a half game ahead of (#14) Michigan State (12-3).  MSU had recently lost the two games mentioned above in Los Angeles, won a game, then lost to Indiana.  The battle for 1st place was in Crisler Arena, where Michigan was undefeated (12-0).  Michigan controlled the 1st half, and led 38-34 at halftime.  The 2nd half was a disaster, and MSU won handily, 75-62.

The loss to MSU seemed to shake Michigan’s confidence, and they just weren’t the same team for the rest of the regular season.  They managed to squeak out a truly ugly win at Nebraska, 49-46, and an almost-as-ugly win at home vs. Rutgers, 84-82, but they struggled in both games.  Look at the score of that Nebraska win: less than 100 points combined.  Michigan played a terrible game, but they were just slightly less terrible than Nebraska.  The home win vs. Rutgers was much closer than it should have been, and it took a miracle buzzer-beater to win it.

It all finally caught up with Michigan for the last three games of the regular season.  Michigan was still in the thick of the Big Ten title race, and if they could win 2 of the last 3 games, they would probably tie for the Big Ten regular season championship.  So, what did they do?  They lost all three games, and they weren’t particularly close.  They lost at home to Illinois on Senior Day (not the last home game, for some reason), 93-73, they lost at home to (#13) Maryland, 71-65, and they lost at (#8) Michigan State, 79-62.

So, the regular season was over, and it ended with a whimper, not a bang, for Michigan.  With those 3 losses, they finished tied with Maryland for 2nd place.  Due to the tiebreaker, Michigan was the #3 seed in the Big Ten Tournament, and it sure looked like they weren’t going to win more than one game in the tournament.  Since they had one of the top 4 seeds, they didn’t play until Friday, and they had to play (#20) Purdue.  Yes, again.  Fortunately, the rubber match went to Michigan, as they beat Purdue easily, 86-68.  The semifinal game was on Saturday, against (#11) Maryland.  Yes, the same Maryland team that beat them 10 days before in Crisler Arena.  This was a close, exciting game, and Maryland up 80-79 with 5 seconds left.  Fortunately, Michigan had the ball, and Tre Donaldson went the length of the floor for the game-winning layup with 0.4 seconds left.  Michigan beat Maryland, 81-80.  It was very exciting.  The final game was on Sunday against (#18) Wisconsin, and it was also close and exciting.  It was all tied up (53-53) with 1:34 left, and Michigan scored the last 6 points to beat Wisconsin 59-53, and win the Big Ten Tournament Championship.

On to the NCAA Tournament.  Michigan was given a worse seed than they deserved (a 5-seed), but they managed to make it to the Sweet Sixteen anyway.  They played in the South Region of the tournament, and played their first two games in Denver.  They beat (12-seed)  UC San Diego 68-65, then they beat (4-seed) (#19) Texas A&M 91-79.  It was a big deal that Michigan made it to the Sweet Sixteen, and they went to Atlanta with hopes of an upset over the 1-seed (#4) Auburn.  Nope.  They played well for the first 28 minutes, and they had built a decent lead, 48-39, with 12:26 to go.  Then the roof fell in.  In the next 5 minutes, they gave up a 20-2 run, and that was it.  Auburn held them off the rest of the way, and won 78-65.  Season over.  Those 5 minutes cost them any chance of a magical ending.  It was a shame.

Still, it was a fun, successful season, much better than expected.  Michigan only had one “bad loss” (at Minnesota), a couple expected losses (at Purdue and at MSU), a few losses in “toss up” games on neutral courts (Wake Forest, Arkansas, and Oklahoma), and a few losses in “toss up” games at home (MSU, Illinois, and Maryland).  They had some great wins: the Fort Myers Tip-Off tournament, at Wisconsin, at USC, at UCLA, at Indiana, home vs. Purdue, at Ohio State, all 3 games in the Big Ten Tournament, and both wins in the NCAA Tournament.  Out of all those wins, the win at UCLA stands out.  That was the high point of the season.  Beating UCLA in Pauley Pavilion by 19 points is huge.

Final Grades

Here are my final grades, with the mid-term grades listed first:

Freshman Eligibility

  • Durral “Phat Phat” Brooks (C/C-) – Phat Phat got his chances to show what he can do, and he didn’t take advantage of them.  He played in 15 games, and scored 12 points.  He has plenty of potential, but he sure didn’t produce during his freshman season.
  • L.J. Cason (B/B+) – L.J. played the most of the three scholarship freshman, and he did pretty well.  He got better as the season went on, and he played important minutes in the Big Ten Tournament and the NCAA Tournament.  He played in 30 games, and scored 130 points.  He didn’t shoot particularly well: 42-for-114 (36.8%) overall, 15-for-61 (24.6%) from deep.  He’ll need to work on that.
  • Howard Eisley Jr. (Inc./Inc.) – Howard was on the Scout Team, and he didn’t play much.  He played in 3 games for 4 minutes, and he missed both of his shot attempts for the season.
  • Justin Pippen (B-/B-) – Justin played in a lot of games (28), but didn’t produce much.  He only scored 44 points, on mediocre shooting: 12-for-44 (27.3%) overall, 8-for-30 (26.7%) from deep.  He did a decent job as a point guard, and he was a capable defender.

Sophomore Eligibility

  • Harrison Hochberg (Inc./Inc.) – Harrison was on the Scout Team, and didn’t play much.  He played in 6 games for 8 minutes, and scored 4 points.
  • Charlie May (Inc./Inc.) – Charlie was on the Scout Team, and didn’t play much.  He played in 5 games for 6 minutes, and he didn’t attempt a shot.
  • Sam Walters (B-/B-) – Sam missed the last 13 games of the season, reportedly with a back injury.  He played in 23 games, and scored 114 points (5.0 points/game).  He shot pretty well: 37-for-87 (42.5%) overall, 26-for-71 (36.6%) from deep.

Junior Eligibility

  • Nimari Burnett (B/B+) – Nimari was a steady-but-not-flashy presence on the team this season.  He started all 37 games, and scored 347 points (9.4 points/game).  He was the best 3-point shooter on the team: 66-for-165 (40.0%).
  • Tre Donaldson (A/A) – Tre had several very good games, several good games, and a couple duds.  Still, he was a leader out there, and he ran the offense very well.  He started all 37 games, and scored 419 points (11.3 points/game).  He led the team in assists (151), against 81 turnovers, which is not a bad ratio.
  • Roddy Gayle Jr. (B+/B) – Roddy had a few very good games, several good games, and a few duds.  He missed one game with an injury, and started 25 games (Rubin Jones started in his place for the other 12 games).  He scored 354 points (9.8 points/game).  He’s a ferocious rebounder for his size (124 rebounds), and he dished out 79 assists.
  • Will Tschetter (B/B) – Will did a nice job coming off the bench and giving the team a spark.  He often played (small) center, and he held his own.  He played in all 37 games, and scored 235 points (6.4 points/game).  He was the leading scorer among the bench players.
  • Danny Wolf (A/A) – Danny was the biggest surprise on the team this season.  He was very good at Yale, but he blossomed into a weapon at Michigan.  He started all 37 games, and scored 489 points (13.2 points/game).  He was the leading rebounder on the team (360).  He was 2nd on the team in assists, with 132.  Not bad for a 7-footer.  He often brought the ball upcourt in transition, and he played “point center” quite often.  He ran a mean pick-and-roll game with Goldin.  On the downside, he occasionally got a little too “creative” (crazy) with the ball, and he led the team in turnovers by a wide margin (120).

Senior/Grad Eligibility

  • Ian Burns (Inc./Inc.) – Ian was on the Scout Team, and didn’t play much.  He played in 7 games for 9 minutes, and missed both of his shot attempts, both 3-point attempts.
  • Vladislav Goldin (A/A) – Vlad started the season slow, but he got better as the season went on.  He started all 37 games, and scored 615 points (16.6 points/game).  He was the leading scorer on the team, and he had the best shooting percentage (222-for-366 = 60.7%).  He was the 2nd leading rebounder on the team (260), and the leading shot blocker (51).
  • Jace Howard (C-/D) – Jace is a scholarship player, but he got playing time as if he were on the Scout Team.  He played in 5 games for 19 minutes, and he scored 4 points.
  • Rubin Jones (B-/B) – Rubin was the most disappointing of the transfer players this season.  He played in 33 games, and started 12 of them in place of Roddy Gayle Jr.  He scored 118 points (3.6 points/game).

Awards

Here are my awards for this season’s team:

  • Most Valuable Player: Vlad Goldin.  This was a really close decision between Goldin and Wolf, but Goldin was a little more consistent and a little less sloppy with the ball.
  • Most Improved Player: Nimari Burnett.  He played pretty well last season, but he kicked it up a notch this season.
  • Best Defensive Player: Tre Donaldson.  He led the team in steals, and he did a good job guarding the main guard on the opposing team most of the season.
  • Sixth Man: Will Tschetter.  He won this last season as well.  He often played (small) center, but he can also play either forward position.

Looking Ahead

How do you “look ahead” in the era of NIL and the Transfer Portal?  It’s all just a guess.  Who is going to return next season?  Who is going to enter the Transfer Portal?  Who is going to declare for the NBA Draft?  Who is Coach May going to pick up in the Transfer Portal?  Will all the incoming freshmen really show up?  So many variables.  Here are my best guesses, at this point:

Who Is Graduating/Out Of Eligibility?

This part is easy.  The following 2 players are out of eligibility:

  • Vlad Goldin – We will really miss him.  He was the backbone of the offense this season, and a pretty good defender.
  • Rubin Jones – He had his moments, but he also had many forgettable games.

Who Has Already Entered The Transfer Portal?

The following 4 players have already entered the Transfer Portal:

  • Tre Donaldson – This is a huge loss.  He was a very valuable part of the team, and he will be missed.  He has already committed to playing at Miami (FL) next season.
  • Jace Howard – He didn’t get to play much this season, after playing a lot earlier in his career.  I can see why he’s disillusioned.  He should be able to find a team where he can contribute more.
  • Justin Pippen – It isn’t clear why he would want to leave.  He got to play quite a bit, and he appeared to have a bright future at Michigan.
  • Sam Walters – He is replaceable, but it would have been nice to keep him.  I suspected something was up when he stopped playing after February 8th.  His back injury shouldn’t have kept him out for almost 2 months.

Who Might Enter The Transfer Portal?

I wouldn’t be surprised to see Phat Phat Brooks enter the Transfer Portal.  He didn’t get much chance to play this season, and he could be a mainstream player at a smaller school.

Who May Declare For The NBA Draft?

The only player with eligibility who might realistically declare for the NBA Draft is Danny Wolf.  He is currently projected as a late 1st round pick.  It’s hard to turn down an offer like that, but there is a rumor that Michigan might offer him $2.5 million in NIL money to stay.  We’ll see.

Who Does That Leave As Returning Players?

After all the announced and potential departures listed above, who does that leave?  The following 6 mainstream players could be back next season:

  • Phat Phat Brooks – As I said above, it wouldn’t surprise me if he enters the Transfer Portal.  If he comes back, he’ll need to have quite a “sophomore jump”.
  • Nimari Burnett – He hasn’t said one way or the other if he’ll return, but it doesn’t seem likely that he’ll enter the Transfer Portal, so his choices are to return for one final season or quit playing college basketball.  He isn’t considered an NBA prospect, but he could decide to try to play internationally.
  • L.J. Cason – He has hinted that he’ll be back next season.
  • Roddy Gayle Jr. – He has definitely said that he’ll be back next season.
  • Will Tschetter – He has definitely said that he’ll be back next season.
  • Danny Wolf – As I said above, he could enter the NBA Draft, or he could stay at Michigan for another year and a lot of NIL $$$.

Who Has Coach May Already Picked Up From The Transfer Portal?

Coach May has already picked up 3 players from the Transfer Portal:

  • Elliot Cadeau – He is the replacement for Tre Donaldson at starting point guard.  He was the starting point guard for North Carolina this season.  He played for 2 years at UNC, so he’ll have junior eligibility next season.  He’s 6’1” tall, and weighs 180 pounds.
  • Morez Johnson Jr. – He played his freshman season at Illinois, so he’ll have sophomore eligibility next season.  He’s 6’9” tall, and weighs 255 pounds.
  • Yaxel Lendeborg – He played for 2 years in junior college (Arizona Western) and 2 years at UAB, so he’s a graduate transfer, with one year of eligibility left.  He is currently in the NBA Draft, but it isn’t clear if he will stay in the draft or come to Michigan.  He was the #1 player in the Transfer Portal.  He’s 6’9” tall, and weighs 240 pounds.  He’s an obvious power forward.

Who Might Coach May Pick Up From The Transfer Portal?

There are rumors that Coach May is actively pursuing Aday Mara, a 7’3” center who played his first two seasons at UCLA.  He’s currently in the Transfer Portal.  He would be a great replacement for Vlad Goldin.

Who Are The Incoming Freshmen?

There are currently 3 incoming freshmen committed to Michigan for next season:

  • Oscar Goodman – He’s from New Zealand, where he played on the various national teams in international competition.  He enrolled early (January 2025), so he was on the team for most of the season, but could only practice with the team, not play.  He’s 6’7” tall, and weighs 220 pounds.
  • Winters Grady – He’s a 4-star small forward, with a nice shooting touch.  He’s 6’6” tall, and weighs 200 pounds.
  • Trey McKenney – He’s a 5-star guard, and the highest ranked of Michigan’s recruits.  He was Mr. Basketball in Michigan this season, and he looks to be the shooting guard of the future at Michigan.  He’s 6’4” tall, and weighs 225 pounds.

What’s Next?

Check back in late October for the next season of Michigan basketball.

Go Blue!

Nothing But ‘Net – Week #25 – 03/31/2025 – And Then The Roof Fell In

The (#22) University of Michigan men’s basketball team played one game as the #5 seed in the South Region of the Sweet Sixteen in the NCAA Tournament in Atlanta this past week, and they lost it.  On Friday (03/28/2025), they lost to the #1 seed (#4) Auburn 78-65.   Michigan’s final record for this season is 27-10 (14-6 in Big Ten).

What Happened?

They had it.  They were playing Auburn evenly, and they had built up a decent lead.  All they had to do was keep the game close until the under-4:00 timeout, and they stood a good chance of spinning their close-game-end-of-game magic.  And then the roof fell in.  They went from a 9-point lead to a 9-point deficit in mere minutes, and the game was over.  It was so sad, a sad way to end a very successful season.

Don’t get me wrong: Auburn is very good, and deserved to win this game, but Michigan had played such a solid, strategic game up until the moment the roof fell in, it was a shame that it just abandoned them so suddenly and so completely.

Game Flow

The first half was close and tense, with many ties and lead changes, and neither team getting ahead by more than 4 points.  Michigan led 29-28 with 2:33 left in the half, and Auburn scored with 34 seconds left to go into halftime up by one point, 30-29.  Michigan went ahead early in the 2nd half (32-30), and Auburn tied it up (32-32).  Michigan went ahead again, and started to pull away.  They had a 6-point lead (42-36) at the 14:36 mark, and a 9-point lead (48-39) with 12:26 to go.  That was when the roof fell in.  Auburn suddenly woke up and got hot, and UM went stone cold.  That’s a bad combination.  Auburn got within 1 point (48-47) in just over a minute (11:12 to go), then went ahead for good (49-48) just over a minute after that (9:56 left).  Michigan finally scored again at the 8:52 mark to get within 1 point (51-50), which stopped a 12-0 run, but Auburn rattled off another 8-0 run to make it 59-50 at the 7:27 mark.  So, that was a 20-2 run by Auburn, in just about 5 minutes.  Michigan never recovered.  The Auburn lead got as high as 14 points, and Michigan never got within 10 points again.  That 5 minute stretch ended Michigan’s season.

Stats

The game stats were pretty weak.  Michigan shot poorly overall (21-for-59 = 35.6%), they shot 3-pointers poorly (5-for-17 = 29.4%), but they shot free throws pretty well (18-for-24 = 75.0%).  They lost the rebounding battle badly (48-33), and they tied in the turnover battle (15-15).  They lost this game with poor shooting and rebounding, and too many turnovers.

Who Started?

The starters were Nimari Burnett, Tre Donaldson, Vladislav Goldin, Rubin Jones, and Danny Wolf.

Who Looked Good?

Wolf was the leading scorer, with 20 points.  He was a little careless with the ball, with 4 turnovers.

Goldin’s last game as a Wolverine was a forgettable one: 10 points on terrible shooting (2-for-9 overall, 0-for-1 from deep).  He had 9 rebounds, for an almost-double-double.

Burnett was the only other Michigan player in double figures, with 10 points. 

Roddy Gayle Jr.  had a decent game off the bench, with 7 points.

Who Looked Not-So-Good?

Jones wasn’t much help in his final game for Michigan, with 6 points.

Donaldson had a lousy game against his old team, with 5 points on terrible shooting (2-for-9 overall, 1-for-3 from deep).

Will Tschetter wasn’t much help off the bench, with 2 points.

Who Else Played?

L.J. Cason chipped in 5 points off the bench.

Phat Phat Brooks played in the final minute, but didn’t attempt a shot.

Who Didn’t Play?

Sam Walters didn’t play again in this game.  He’s still recovering from a lower back injury.  He hasn’t played since 02/08/2025.  It really would have helped to have had him available.

Jace Howard and Justin Pippen were the other scholarship players who didn’t play in this game.

Ian Burns, Howard Eisley Jr., Harrison Hochberg, and Charlie May were the Scout Team players who didn’t play in this game.

What Does It Mean?

Season over.  Getting to the Sweet Sixteen was great, but it could have been even better.

What’s Next?

Clean out the lockers.  Season over.

Check back next week for my Season Wrap-up, Final Grades, and a Look Ahead.

Go Blue!

Nothing But ‘Net – Week #24 – 03/24/2025 – Sweet!

The (#22) University of Michigan men’s basketball team played two games as the #5 seed in the South Region of the NCAA Tournament in Denver this past week, and they won both of them.  On Thursday (03/20/2025), they beat the #12 seed U.C. San Diego 68-65, then on Saturday (03/22/2025), they beat the #4 seed (#19) Texas A&M 91-79.   Michigan’s record is now 27-9 (14-6 in Big Ten).

What Happened?

Sweet!  Actually, Sweet 16!  By winning both games this week, Michigan is advancing to the Sweet 16.  This is a Really Big Deal.  After a miserable 8-24 season last year, no one expected Michigan to bounce back this fast and this far.  Since the NCAA Tournament expanded to establish the Sweet 16 as it exists today (1975), Michigan is the first team to go from a 24-loss season to the Sweet 16 the next season.  Amazing.

Both games were close and exciting, and Michigan won both games in the final minutes.

Game Flow

The UCSD game started out with a bang for Michigan.  Before the first media timeout, Michigan had raced out to a 10-0 lead.  UCSD didn’t score until the 14:55 mark, to make it 10-2.  Michigan kept their lead in the 7-9 point range, and finally pushed it over 10 points (20-8) with 10:20 to go.  They kept the lead in the 10-12 point range, and finally pushed it up to 14 points (41-27) at halftime.  Michigan started the 2nd half with a free throw to push their lead to 15 points (42-27) at the 19:11 mark, and that was the high point.  The rest of the game was a slow, grinding comeback by UCSD.  They went on a 12-0 run to get within 3 points (42-39) with 16:46 to go, and they got within 1 point (45-44) with 14:40 left.  Michigan responded, and pushed the lead back up to 7 points (51-44) at the 12:19 mark, then up to 10 points (56-46) with 11:10 to go.  UCSD kept grinding, and they tied it up (63-63) with 3:05 left, and went ahead (65-63) with 2:29 to go.  Look at the final score (68-65); Michigan scored the last 5 points to win by 3.  It was a gritty win.

Michigan was an underdog in the Texas A&M game, both by seeding (#5 vs. #4) and according to Las Vegas.  The game started out close and exciting, with several ties and lead changes.  It was all tied up (10-10) at the 14:07 mark, when Michigan opened up a small lead, 17-11, with 12:55 to go.  TAMU tied it up (17-17) with 11:34 to go, then they went ahead for a while.  They were up 6 points (29-23) with 6:17 left in the half, when Michigan went on a mini-run to tie it up (31-31) with 4:16 to go.  Michigan led by 1 point (35-34) at the 2:18 mark, but TAMU scored the last 5 points of the half to lead 39-34 at halftime.

The 2nd half didn’t look very promising for Michigan.  TAMU expanded their lead to 9 points (48-39) at the 16:51 mark, then 10 points (51-41) with 15:46 to go.  They kept their lead around 8-10 points for the next couple minutes, and they were still up 8 points (60-52) with 13:04 left.  Michigan managed to get the deficit down to 4 points (61-57) with 12:07 to go, then 2 points (63-61) at the 10:18 mark.  TAMU pushed their lead back up to 6 points (67-61), and Michigan managed to get back within a point (67-66) at the 8:11 mark.  UM finally caught up and went ahead (71-70) with 6:08 left, then pushed the lead to 5 points (75-70) with 5:17 to go.  They never trailed again.  TAMU got as close as 3 points (75-72) at the 4:59 mark, but Michigan went on a crucial 6-0 run to put the game out of reach, 81-72, with 3:43 left.  TAMU got as close as 3 points (82-79) with 1:29 to go, but UM closed the game with a 9-0 run to win going away.

Stats

The stats for the UCSD game were decent.  Michigan shot decently overall (24-for-57 = 42.1%), they shot 3-pointers pretty well (9-for-27 = 33.3%), but they shot free throws poorly (11-for-20 = 55.0%).  They won the rebounding battle (43-37), but they lost the turnover battle (14-8).  They won this game with decent shooting and rebounding, but they almost lost it with poor free-throw shooting and turnovers.

The stats for the TAMU game were also just decent.  Michigan shot decently overall (28-for-65 = 43.1%), they shot 3-pointers decently (6-for-22 = 27.3%), and they shot free throws well (29-for-36 = 80.6%).  They won the rebounding battle (48-39), but they barely lost the turnover battle (9-8).  They won this game with free throws and rebounding.  They scored 29 points at the free throw line!

Who Started?

The starters for both games were Nimari Burnett, Tre Donaldson, Vladislav Goldin, Rubin Jones, and Danny Wolf.

Who Looked Good?

We have an unexpected star this week: Roddy Gayle Jr.  He wasn’t the leading scorer in the UCSD game, but he did hit double figures, with 11 points off the bench.  He was the big star and the leading scorer in the TAMU game, with a season-high 26 points.  Remember when Roddy missed 16 3-point attempts in a row back in February?  Well, he finally found his shot, and just in time.  He shot 1-for-3 from deep vs. UCSD, and 4-for-6 vs. TAMU.  He was great.

Goldin was the leading scorer in the UCSD game, with 14 points, and he was almost the leading scorer in the TAMU game, with 23 points.  He also had 12 rebounds vs. TAMU, for a big double-double.  He was great.

Donaldson hit double figures (12) vs. UCSD, and almost hit double figures (8) vs. TAMU.  He did a good job running the offense.

Wolf hit double figures (14) vs. TAMU, and almost hit double figures (9) vs. UCSD.  He also had 11 and 9 rebounds.  He did his part.

L.J. Cason had a good week, with 6 points vs. UCSD and 11 points vs. TAMU.  He looked very calm and confident out there on a big stage.

Will Tschetter chipped in 7 and 2 points off the bench this week.

Who Looked Not-So-Good?

Burnett had one decent game (6 points vs. UCSD) and one terrible game (0 points vs. TAMU).

Jones had one lousy game (3 points vs. UCSD) and one decent game (7 points vs. TAMU).

Who Else Played?

Phat Phat Brooks played in the final minute of the TAMU game, but didn’t attempt a shot.

Ian Burns played in the final minute of the TAMU game, but didn’t attempt a shot.

Harrison Hochberg played in the final minute of the TAMU game, but didn’t attempt a shot.

Charlie May played in the final minute of the TAMU game, but didn’t attempt a shot.

Who Didn’t Play?

Sam Walters didn’t play again this week.  He’s still recovering from a lower back injury.

Jace Howard and Justin Pippen were the other scholarship players who didn’t play this week.

Howard Eisley Jr. was the only Scout Team player who didn’t play this week.

What Does It Mean?

Getting to the Sweet 16 is huge for this team.  This far exceeds most people’s expectations, including mine.  I was going to be happy if Michigan finished in the top half of the Big Ten standings, won a game in the Big Ten Tournament, and made it to the NCAA Tournament.  I was happy when they came in 2nd in the Big Ten standings, very happy when they won the Big Ten Tournament, and extremely happy when they won two games in the NCAA Tournament and made it to the Sweet 16.  As my son said, they’re playing with “house money”.

What’s Next?

This week, Michigan continues play in the NCAA Tournament, as the #5 seed in the South Region.  Play shifts from Denver to Atlanta, where Michigan plays the #1 seed, (#4) Auburn, on Friday (03/28/2025, 9:39 p.m., CBS).  If they win that game, they play the winner of the (#2 seed) Michigan State vs. (#6 seed) Mississippi game on Sunday.

Auburn is currently 30-5 (15-3 in SEC), with impressive wins over (#4) Houston, (#5) Iowa State, (#12) North Carolina, Memphis, (#16) Purdue, Missouri, (#23) Georgia, (#6) Tennessee, (#2) Alabama, (#17) Kentucky, and (#8) Mississippi.  They have no bad losses.  They don’t have any noteworthy players, and they don’t have much height: a 6’10” player (their leading scorer) and a 6’11” player who averages 5 points/game.  Look at that list of impressive wins; Auburn is legit.  Are they unbeatable?  No, Texas A&M beat them, and Michigan just beat Texas A&M.  Can Michigan beat them?  Sure, but they will need to play their best game of the season to do it.  They will need to shoot 3-pointers like they did in the beginning of January, and they will need to keep their turnovers down.  If Michigan can stay close with 4 minutes to go, they stand a chance against any team in the country.

Check back next week to find out what happened and why.

Go Blue!