Nothing But ‘Net – Week #12 – 01/15/2024 – At Least We Have Football

The University of Michigan men’s basketball team played one game this past week, and they lost it.  On Thursday (01/11/2024), they lost at Maryland 64-57.  The loss lowers Michigan’s record to 6-10 (1-4 in Big Ten).  Michigan has now lost 5 games in a row.

What Happened?

At least we have football.  The football team had a magical season, going undefeated (15-0) and winning the 2023 College Football Playoff (CFP) National Championship.  I may be the “basketball guy” at UMGoBlue.com, but I’m also a big UM football fan.  I’ve had season tickets for 50 years now, starting when I was a freshman in fall 1974.  It was an amazing season.  Go Blue!

That’s in sharp contrast to the UM men’s basketball team, which is having one of the worst seasons in their history, certainly the worst since I’ve been a fan.  Sure, they still have a lot of games left to play, and they could still salvage a successful season, but watching them play, they stand little chance of getting anywhere near respectability.  They stood a decent chance for a rare win vs. Maryland, but they threw the game away with both hands.  It’s very demoralizing.

Game Flow

The game was close in the early going, with both teams having trouble scoring.  Michigan was up 7-6 at the first media timeout, with 14:40 to go in the 1st half.  The score was still 7-6 at the next media timeout, with 11:54 to go.  Michigan finally broke the long scoring drought by both teams, and managed to slowly extend their lead to 10-6 at the 10:38 mark.  In less than a minute, Maryland tied it up, 10-10, with 9:48 to go.  The game was tied at 12-12, 13-13, and 15-15, at the 7:02 mark.  Suddenly, Michigan woke up and went on a quick 10-0 run, to make it 25-15 with 4:51 left.  They hit a 3-pointer with 9 seconds left in the half, and led by 12 points (33-21) at halftime.

Remember the Penn State game last week?  Remember how Michigan clawed their way to a nice lead at halftime (10 points), then threw it away as fast as they could at the start of the 2nd half?  Déjà vu!  They did it again.  The 2nd half was a disaster.  Their nice 12-point lead was down to 6 points (35-29) at the 17:45 mark, then 3 points (39-36) at the 14:42 mark.  It was down to one point (43-42) with 11:37 to go, and all gone by the 10:00 mark, 44-44.  The lead went back and forth for a couple minutes, with Michigan clinging to their last lead of the game (50-49) with 7:34 left.  Maryland went ahead, and pushed their lead as high as 7 points (58-51) with 4:49 to go.  Michigan got as close as one point (58-57) with 2:38 left, but that was their last points.  Maryland made 6 free throws in the last 2:38, and Michigan couldn’t buy a basket.  They missed four 2-point shots, one 3-point shot, and one free throw.  Horrible.

Stats

The game stats were miserable.  Michigan shot very poorly overall (21-for-53 = 39.6%), they shot 3-pointers reasonably well, but not enough (5-for-15 = 33.3%), and they shot free throws poorly (10-for-15 = 66.7%).  They lost the rebounding battle (35-32), but they did win the turnover battle (11-12).  They lost this game with poor shooting and rebounding.         

Who Started?

The starters were Nimari Burnett, Jaelin Llewellyn, Olivier Nkamhoua, Tarris Reed, Jr., and Terrance Williams II.  Llewellyn started in place of Dug McDaniel.

McDaniel is the regular starting point guard, but he didn’t even make the trip.  He is serving an indefinite (he says “6 game”) “road game suspension”.  He is staying back in Ann Arbor when the team travels, so he can work on his academic issues.  He isn’t academically ineligible, he just isn’t performing up to expectations academically, so he is missing road games to give him more time to work on it.  On the one hand, he’s easily the most important and most valuable player on the team, and his absence is a huge problem.  On the other hand, academics are important, and he can’t let them slide.  This is the right thing to do, but it sure hurts a team that doesn’t need any help to underachieve.

Who Looked Good?

Nkamhoua was the leading scorer, with 18 points.  He was also the leading rebounder, with 7.  He did his best.

Williams was the only other Michigan player in double figures, with 10 points.  He was OK, but not as effective as he’s been lately.

Llewellyn almost hit double figures, with 9 points.  He ran the offense fairly well, with 3 assists, but he also had 3 turnovers.  He shot poorly (3-for-11 overall), and he had a tough time bringing the ball up court against pressure.

Reed also got close to double figures, with 8 points.  He shot fairly well (3-for-5), but right there you can see the problem: only 5 shots in the paint.  In all Michigan’s losses, they’ve had trouble getting the ball into the post to Reed, and when they do, opponents almost always double- or even triple-team him.  When that happens, things usually don’t go well.  Often, he just turns it over.  If he gets a shot off, it’s often blocked, or he misses.  If he tries to find an open man to pass it out to, he often throws the ball away or the pass is intercepted.  It seldom turns into a basket for Michigan.  After 3 seasons of being able to get the ball in to Hunter Dickinson down low and having him either convert or get fouled, it’s a big change not having a dominant post player.  Reed is a good player, and he tries really hard, but the opposing teams have figured out that he doesn’t handle a double- or triple-team well, and that’s why Michigan is having trouble in their half-court offense.

Burnett also got close to double figures, with 7 points.  He also shot poorly: 2-for-9 overall, 1-for-5 from deep.  That shows another problem with Michigan’s offense this season: poor outside shooting.  As we saw in Reed’s discussion, Michigan doesn’t have a dominant post player, so their best hope for scoring some points is outside shooting.  Unfortunately, they don’t have any really deadly outside shooters either.  That’s a bad combination.

Will Tschetter had 5 points off the bench.  That’s all the bench scoring.  There’s Michigan’s third big problem: a very short, very weak bench.  The starters are being asked to play almost all the minutes and score all the points, and it’s obviously wearing them down as the long season grinds on.

Who Looked Not-So-Good?

Youssef Khayat played for 7 minutes, and didn’t attempt a shot.  That’s forgivable when Michigan is at full strength, but they were missing two key players (McDaniel and Jackson [see below]) and they needed some bench scoring.  You can’t score if you don’t even attempt a shot.

George Washington III played for 9 minutes, and didn’t attempt a shot.  See Khayat’s notes above.  Washington’s supposed to be a good shooter, and now is when he needs to start shooting and scoring.

Who Else Played?

No one else played.  No one else was available to play.  Michigan’s bench is very thin.

Who Didn’t Play?

None of the Scout Team players played in either game: Ian Burns, Harrison Hochberg, Jackson Selvala, and Cooper Smith.  Smith is currently injured.

Jace Howard is still recovering from a knee injury, and is not playing yet.  He’s expected back “sometime in the next week”.

Tray Jackson wasn’t available to play, since he was in the “concussion protocol” after being injured in the Penn State game last week.  He should be available going forward.

What Does It Mean?

It’s hard to win a game on the road in the Big Ten.  I understand that.  Maryland isn’t very good this year, but they’re still not easy to beat at home.  I get it.  Still, this was one of the few winnable games left on Michigan’s schedule, and they played well enough in the 1st half to win, then they just collapsed.  They haven’t won a close game all season.  It’s looking like they may not win another game this season.

What’s Next?

This week, Michigan plays two games.  On Monday (01/15/2024, 12:00 p.m., FOX), they play Ohio State, then on Thursday (01/18/2024, 8:30 p.m., FS1), they play (#10) Illinois.  Both games are in Crisler Arena.

That isn’t a typo above: Michigan is really playing a home game against a Big Ten opponent at noon on a weekday.  Yes, it’s MLK Day, and yes, schools and some (very few) businesses have the day off, but what kind of crowd can we expect at noon on a weekday?  We shall see.  The game is officially listed as a sell-out, but I expect to see a lot of empty seats.  Since I post my articles around 10:30 on Monday mornings, by the time you read these words, the game might already have started or even been completed.

Ohio State is currently 12-4 (2-3 in Big Ten), with impressive wins over (#17) Alabama, Minnesota, and UCLA, and unimpressive losses to Penn State and Indiana.  They don’t have any noteworthy players, and they don’t have much height: a 6’10” guy and a 6’11” guy.  Can Michigan beat the Buckeyes?  Sure, but not the way they’ve been playing lately.  If OSU has any lead in the final 3 minutes, they’re going to beat Michigan.

Illinois is currently 12-4 (3-2 in Big Ten), with impressive wins over (#11) Florida Atlantic, Missouri, Northwestern (by 30 points), and Michigan State, and an unimpressive loss to Maryland.  They have one noteworthy player (Terrence Shannon Jr.), but not much height: one 6’10” guy.  This is a game where I expect Michigan to get blasted.  If they can stay close, that will be a moral victory in a season that is desperate for any sort of victory.

Check back next week to find out what happened and why.

Go Blue!

Michigan Wolverine Football Podcast — Perfect – Michigan 34 Washington 13

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Phil @pcallihan and Clint @Clint_Derringer discuss Michigan’s 34-13 victory over Washington to capture the National Championship. With QB JJ McCarthy, RB Blake Corum, and Head Coach Jim Harbaugh.

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Podcast Archive

Podcast Summary

  • Michigan’s National Championship Game.0:00
    • Michigan Wolverines win National Championship, players reflect on teamwork and brotherhood.
    • Harbaugh’s motto “nobody has it better than us” reflects gratitude and attitude of gratitude.
    • Michigan dominates Alabama with depth and resilience.
    • Phil Callihan highlights Donovan Edwards’ dominant performance, including two touchdowns in the fourth quarter, as Michigan defeats Washington 34-13.
    • Michigan’s defense consistently shuts down Washington’s offense, while the Wolverines’ offense wears down their defense for a convincing victory.
  • Michigan Wolverines’ dominant performance in the first quarter and their defense’s success in containing Washington’s offense.9:36
    • Clint Derringer highlights Michigan’s explosive offense in the first quarter, with 443 total yards and a 17.6 yards per play average, leading to a 69% success rate.
    • Michigan’s defense held Washington to 4.6 yards per play in the first quarter, with a 9% success rate, and continued to perform well throughout the game.
    • Clint Derringer and Jim Harbaugh highlight the resilience of the Michigan defense, who overcame challenges and adversity to secure a victory.
    • The defense’s performance was capped off by Mikey Sr.’s interception and Blake Corum’s touchdown, marking a perfect ending to the season.
  • Michigan Wolverines football team’s success and defense.15:20
    • Michigan’s defense led the team to a championship this season, with the offense providing just enough support.
    • Phil Callihan reflects on Michigan’s recent games, including the Penn State and Washington contests, and how the team’s defense has consistently performed well despite facing strong offenses.
    • Callihan highlights the team’s resilience and ability to come back from setbacks, such as the TCU game, and how they’ve shown growth and improvement throughout the season.
    • Phil Callihan reflects on the inconsistency of Michigan Football during the Rich Rodriguez and Brady Hoke eras, wondering if the team will ever return to its former glory.
    • Callihan expresses excitement for Jim Harbaugh’s return to the team and their potential for success, but acknowledges a rocky start to his tenure.
  • Michigan football’s turnaround under Jim Harbaugh.23:47
    • Clint Derringer reflects on 2020 season, argues program needed paradigm shift with Harbaugh at helm.
    • Harbaugh’s leadership and coaching transformed Michigan football, leading to a College Football Playoff appearance in 2021.
  • Michigan Football’s leadership and culture under Jim Harbaugh.27:56
    • Jim Harbaugh highlights the team’s resilience and ability to turn setbacks into opportunities for growth.
    • The team’s culture and leadership have been key to their success, with players and coaches working together to overcome challenges.
    • Phil Callihan reflects on Jim Harbaugh’s return to Michigan Football, noting that he was initially hesitant due to the administration at the time.
    • Callihan recalls the environment surrounding Harbaugh’s hiring, including the need for someone with the “flexibility and cachet” to keep improving the program.
  • Michigan Wolverines football culture and leadership.34:07
    • Phil Callihan reflects on his frustration with Michigan football under Rich Rodriguez, Brady Hoke, and Jim Harbaugh, particularly the 2015 Appalachian State game and the 2016 Penn State loss.
    • Callihan praises Harbaugh for his ability to ignore the noise and improve the team despite the challenging environment, but notes that progress has been slow.
    • Michigan football players set a culture of excellence after Aidan Hutchinson’s departure, with a focus on continuous improvement and upholding the program’s high standards.
  • Michigan Wolverines football culture and player insights.39:38
    • Michigan Football coach Phil Callihan highlights the team’s culture and player dedication, with no off-field distractions.
    • Phil Callihan discusses the constant speculation surrounding Jim Harbaugh’s future at Michigan, including NFL rumors and coaching changes.
    • Callihan shares his frustration with the lack of knowledgeable reporting on the topic, particularly from ESPN Talking Heads.
    • Phil Callihan highlights the culture of fun and enjoyment among Michigan football players, who support and encourage each other both on and off the field.
    • Roman Wilson shares his desire to be a leader and step out of his comfort zone, even if it means being more vocal and taking risks.
  • Michigan Wolverines football team’s past and present, including coaching changes and player development.46:20
    • Clint Derringer highlights AJ Barner, Darius Henderson, and Josh Wallace as examples of leaders who transferred to Michigan under Jim Harbaugh, citing their selflessness and fit for the program’s culture.
    • Derringer praises Jay Harbaugh, Jim Harbaugh’s son and special teams coordinator, for his ability to coach multiple position groups and recruit well, demonstrating the staff’s strength in self-evaluation and self-awareness.
    • Clint Derringer reflects on JJ McCarthy’s tweet from 2020, where he encourages Michigan fans to take deep breaths and understand that the program is doing everything it can to be great.
    • JJ McCarthy shares his insight on the situation in 2023, saying that he knew the program was not in a good place and that he had a gut feeling that something would happen to turn it around.
  • Jim Harbaugh’s leadership and coaching abilities at Michigan Football.52:54
    • Michigan Football team’s resilience and adaptability under Jim Harbaugh’s leadership.
    • Jim Harbaugh has had a successful coaching career, including nearly winning a Super Bowl and rebuilding the Michigan Football program.
    • Harbaugh’s return to Michigan was facilitated by David Brandon’s departure and the program’s desire to give him everything he needed to be successful, including new facilities and a rebuilt Football program.
    • Phil Callihan praises Jim Harbaugh for his ability to adapt and improve the Michigan football team, citing his willingness to bring in new coaches and players to elevate the program.
    • Callihan highlights Harbaugh’s success in beating Ohio State, despite initial doubts from ESPN and talk radio hosts, and notes that the team’s improvements were evident in their ability to bounce back from losses and continue to get better.
  • Ohio State-Michigan rivalry and its impact on coach Ryan Day.1:01:21
    • Clint Derringer highlights Michigan’s physical domination of Ohio State and their mental toughness in bouncing back from losses.
    • Derringer believes Jim Harbaugh is living rent-free in Ryan Day’s head after Michigan’s recent success against Ohio State.
    • Ohio State coach Ryan Day’s focus on beating Michigan is evident in his team’s performance.
    • Phil Callihan believes Michigan’s culture is better than Ohio State’s, leading to the Wolverines’ success on the field.
    • Callihan attributes Michigan’s success to its strong culture, which attracts and develops great players.
  • Michigan Wolverines football culture and coaching.1:09:00
    • Phil Callihan reflects on Michigan’s culture of loyalty and resilience.
    • Callihan believes Harbaugh’s love for Michigan is his best coaching destiny.
    • Phil Callihan reflects on Michigan’s 1000th win and the emotions it evoked, sharing personal experiences and the significance of the moment.
    • Callihan expresses happiness for the players, acknowledging their hard work and the unique nature of their achievement.
  • Jim Harbaugh’s coaching future at Michigan.1:16:30
    • Fans and former players shower Jim Harbaugh with love and appreciation.
    • Clint and Phil discuss Jim Harbaugh’s potential decision to leave Michigan for the NFL, with Clint arguing that Harbaugh’s love for Michigan and his family ties make it the best place for him, while Phil suggests that Harbaugh may want to pursue a rivalry with Pete Carroll in the NFL.
    • Michigan football coach Jim Harbaugh’s leadership and player motivation led to a “magical” season despite off-field drama.
  • Michigan Football and its impact on families.1:23:42
    • Clint Derringer shares fond memories of watching Michigan football games with his family, including his first memory of being a fan.
    • Clint Derringer reflects on the joy of watching his children experience Michigan football games, and how he looks forward to sharing those memories with them in the future.
    • Phil Callihan shares a personal memory of meeting Desmond Howard at Michigan and how it influenced his brother’s fandom for life.
    • Phil Callihan appreciates the opportunity to share experiences with his family and friends through Michigan Football, including reading stories to his daughter in the womb and now attending games together.
    • Clint Derringer values the chance to contribute to the press box experience and reconnect with his fandom through spending time with Phil and his brothers, joking that he considers himself an honorary Callaghan.
  • Michigan Football culture and gratitude.1:30:30
    • Clint Derringer expresses gratitude for Michigan football fandom and the positive vibes surrounding the team.
    • Clint Derringer and Phil Callihan express gratitude to Michigan Football teams and coaches for bringing pride and positive memories.
    • Coaches and players emphasize teamwork and culture at Michigan football program.

Michigan 34 Washington 13 – Game 15 CFP Final Recap

NATIONAL CHAMPIONS!

GAME 15 PROJECTION vs. RESULTS

Final Score: 34-13, Michigan by 21 over Washington
SP+ Projection: Michigan by 12.3 (+8.7)
CD Projection: Michigan by 7 (+14)

FIVE FACTORS

GAME 15 CFP FINAL RECAP vs. Washington

With the National Championship on the line, the Michigan offense stayed true to their identity and mashed the Washington Huskies on the ground for 303 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns.  The Wolverines rocketed out of the gate with two long touchdown runs from Donovan Edwards in the first quarter, one that covered 41 yards and the other from 46 yards out.  When James Turner added a field goal on Michigan’s third drive to go up 17-3 early in the second quarter, fans felt this could turn into a blowout.

But, that story did not come to be.  Over the next seven drives in the second and third quarters, the Wolverines managed just one additional field goal on a short field drive, set up by the defense.  JJ McCarthy never quite got into rhythm, and finished 10-18 for 140 yards passing and no touchdowns.  But, McCarthy was the spark that ignited the finishing flurry for Michigan.  His 22-yard scramble from near his own goal line allowed the Wolverines to flip the field position.  On their second possession of the fourth quarter, up by just seven points, JJ threw a strike to Coleston Loveland over the middle for a 41 yard backbreaker.  Two plays later, Blake Corum juked his way into the endzone for a 12-yard touchdown.  That 14-point lead felt insurmountable with just seven minutes remaining, and it was fitting for Corum to cap it off as the heartbeat of this offensive unit. 

The CFP Final game narrative fits perfectly atop the 2023 season, because the star of the show was the Michigan defense.  In the premier strength-on-strength matchup for all the marbles versus Kalen DeBoer,  Ryan Grubb, and an NFL-level offensive unit for the Huskies, defensive coordinator Jesse Minter reigned supreme.  Heisman runner-up Michael Penix was battered by the time the clock hit zero.  He finished 27-51 for 255 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions.  This is on the heels of a 430-yard, two touchdown performance the week before in the semifinals.

The defensive line proved the depth development strategy employed by Michigan in 2023 was indeed brilliant.  All seven rotational defensive lineman created pressure on Penix.  Mason Graham finished as the statistical leader with three tackles, and Kenneth Grant added a sack.  That pressure, paired with a physical game plan from the Michigan defensive backs, yielded two interceptions at critical moments.  The first interception by Will Johnson came on the opening possession of the second half and created the short field I mentioned before.  The second interception was the coronation of the National Championship season: an 81-yard celebratory return by Mike Sainristil who, like Corum, embodied the perfect player to put an exclamation point on this perfect season.

The special teams unit eliminated the huge mistakes from the prior week in the Rose Bowl.  Jay Harbaugh made a brilliant adjustment to the Washington punter’s low, line-drive style by utilizing two returners: one shallow and one deep.  James Turner was very near the upright on a short field goal, and actually hit the upright on an extra point, but made all his kicks.  And, punter Tommy Doman bounced back the best.  His kicks carried an average of 47.6 yards, and a net of 43.6.

This team is the greatest team in the land, and cannot be disputed.  They are forever National Champions.  However, the word I will always associate with this team is unflappable.  No force exists within a football stadium that could shake the 2023 Michigan Wolverines.  That proved true again for the fifteenth time on Monday, January 8th, 2024.  In my eyes, by realizing their year-long mission to win the title by defeating all comers, this is the greatest Michigan Football team in the 144-year history of the program.  Don’t agree with such a lofty statement?  Somehow they’ll show up and prove it again.  Bet!

2023 SEASON RECAP

It felt shortsighted to just do a game recap after the season the Michigan Wolverines just completed.  So, I want to layout briefly how I experienced this 2023 season, through a series of eight phases:

  1. Expectations

When Blake Corum, Zak Zinter, and the other upperclassmen decided to return for another season back in January of 2023, the championship foundation was preserved.  However, the stakes were raised immediately when Blake Corum called his shot in front of a crowd at Crisler Arena, stating that this team would win a National Title and go down in history.  There was no turning back, the boats had been burned. 

  1. Happy Mission 

Spring and summer were traditional from a program and media standpoint.  There were a few questions about starting battles at offensive tackle and at the second cornerback spot, but Jim Harbaugh reiterated that his guys were embarking on a happy mission. 

  1. Harbaugh Suspension #1 

A negotiated settlement with the NCAA related to 2020 dead period violations fell through at the eleventh hour.  Still, the Michigan administration self-imposed a three-game suspension on Jim Harbaugh and four different assistants received an opportunity to add head coach responsibilities on game day.  Developing that depth would prove to be valuable.

  1. Big Ten Dominance

When Jim Harbaugh returned and the B1G Ten season started, the Wolverines showed they had at least another gear that they had not shown through the first four games.  Back-to-back road blowouts over Nebraska and Minnesota silenced a handful of doubters who thought Michigan looked unimpressive early in the season. 

  1. Connor Stalions & Media Chaos 

A media firestorm exploded when news leaked regarding support staffer Connor Stalions leading an in-person scouting operation that skirted various NCAA regulations.  The news was timed and targeted to maximize the amplitude of the chaos, and triggered a chorus of complaints from B1G Ten coaches and administrators to new conference commissioner Tony Petitti.

  1. Harbaugh Suspension #2 

Tony Petitti acquiesced to the complaints and determined he would suspend Jim Harbaugh midseason for three more games.  Petitti also maximized the potential damage for targeting the three toughest games on the schedule, including The Game versus Ohio State.  The final salt in the wound was the timing & delivery of the announcement.   The commissioner waited until the team was in flight en route to the Penn State road game, and the Michigan contingent found out via social media.

  1. #Bet (Savage Warrior), 

In response to a failed appeal for injunction in a Washtenaw County court, the administration, the team, and the fan base was incensed with the B1G Ten conference.  Many hot takes were created and fired into the media environment, but the Michigan community rallied around a viral tweet sent by the players and echoed by even university president Santa Ono: Bet.  The one-word rallying cry was a call to fight by saying less and doing more.  The Wolverines were determined to let their actions speak.  The happy mission had transformed into one taken on by savage warriors.

  1. Confirmation & Coronation

Through all the distraction, and under the guidance of Sherrone Moore as interim head coach, the Michigan Wolverines executed a variety of game plans to continue their victorious march.  Key injuries on both sides of the ball dictated how Michigan could attack the best defenses on their schedule.  But, they made the key plays against Penn State, Maryland, Ohio State, Iowa, Alabama, and Washington.  Over this stretch of games, the game narratives in my mind slowly shifted.  It started from a place of fear that this team’s opportunity could be squandered in an epic “What If…” season.  That narrative morphed to a confirmation that this team was good enough and tough enough that none of the outside forces mattered.  None of the on-field foes mattered.  The Rose Bowl semifinal and CFP final games were fitting coronations for the sport’s new kings. 

THANK YOU

I’ll conclude with a thank you to Phil Callihan for the opportunity to contribute to the site, and for his support and flexibility that allowed me to experience this magical ride from the press box with him and his family, from home with my family, and through it all with our Michigan family.  Also, thank you for reading, listening, following, and talking to us about this team.  

It’s Great…to be…a Michigan Wolverine…because the ultimate team–the greatest Michigan team of all of all time!–finished their business and brought home the ultimate prize to Ann Arbor.