Nothing But ‘Net – Week #20 – 03/13/2017 – Big Ten Tournament Champions!

Quick Look

The University of Michigan men’s basketball team played four games last week in the Big Ten Tournament in Washington (DC), and they won all four, and won the tournament championship.  They were the #8 seed.  On Thursday (03/09/2017), Michigan beat the #9 seed, Illinois, 75-55; on Friday (03/10/2017), they beat the #1 seed, (#13) Purdue, 74-70 in overtime; on Saturday (03/11/2017), they beat the #4 seed, Minnesota, 84-77; then on Sunday (03/12/2017), they beat the #2 seed, (#23) Wisconsin, 71-56.  The four wins raise Michigan’s record to 24-11 (10-8 in the Big Ten).

What Happened

Amazingly, the biggest story in Michigan basketball this week isn’t that they won the Big Ten Tournament, but that they survived the plane ride to get to Washington.  They tried to fly to DC on a charter jet on Wednesday morning, but there was a major clear-air windstorm at that time, and the plane never left the ground.  Instead, it skidded off the runway, through a fence, over an access road, and came to rest close to sliding into a ravine.  Fortunately, no one was seriously hurt, but it was close.  If the plane had skidded another 100 yards or so, and gone into the ravine, it could have easily burst into flames, with serious injuries or even deaths.

Of course, everyone on board was shook up, and the team held a players-only meeting to vote on whether to try again the next day or just stay in Ann Arbor and forfeit.  They voted to fly the next day, and that flight went smoothly.  Still, they only got to the Verizon Center at 10:40 for a scheduled noon tip-off, which was moved back a whole 30 minutes to 12:30.

The fun didn’t stop once the team got to the arena.  Because the FAA had to investigate their aborted takeoff and accident, they couldn’t retrieve their luggage from the wrecked charter plane, and all their game uniforms (white, blue, and maize) were in the hold.  So, they had to play their first game, against Illinois, in their practice uniforms, with almost no warm up time.  It was the worst possible situation, but it didn’t appear to slow Michigan down at all.

The key to all four games this week was a fast, solid start, and the Illinois game was just the first example.  They jumped out to a quick 11 point lead (15-4) at the 14:41 mark, built it up to 20 points (31-11) with 7:23 left in the 1st half, and kept Illinois at arms-length for the rest of the game.  They did let Illinois creep within 7 points (33-26) with 3:26 to go, but they built the lead back up to 11 points (40-29) at halftime.  The lead was still 11 points (45-34) with 16:18 to go, when Michigan pushed it up to 18 points (54-36) with 13:20 to go.  The lead never got below 10 points the rest of the way, and Michigan finished the game with an 8-0 run to make it an even 20 points.  It was a stirring victory, coming after so much adversity and distraction.

By the next day (Friday), Michigan finally had their game uniforms, and they got a good night’s sleep in DC.  They didn’t start out as fast against Purdue as they had against Illinois, but they did a good job of managing the game.  They kept the score close, and it was tied 20-20 with 8:59 left in the 1st half.  Purdue went on a quick 7-0 run to lead 27-20 at the 6:16 mark.  They pushed it up to 9 points (32-23) with 4:44 to go, and it was looking like they were getting ready to run away with the game.  That’s when DJ Wilson took over.  He went on a personal 10-2 run, including two jumpers and two 3-pointers, to pull Michigan back within one point (34-33) with 2:15 left in the half.  Michigan finally regained the lead, and they were up 4 points (38-34) with 0:01 left when a Purdue player hit a 55-foot shot at the buzzer to make it a one point game at halftime, 38-37.

The second half was close and tense, with neither team able to pull away.  In the 2nd half alone, there were 8 ties and 7 lead changes.  Purdue’s biggest lead in the half was 3 points, and Michigan’s biggest lead was 4.  Purdue led by 3 points (66-63) with 0:33 left, but Michigan managed to tie it up 66-66, and force overtime.

Overtime has not been kind to Michigan this season, with losses at Iowa and Minnesota, but this time was different.  Michigan never trailed in the overtime, built up a 5-point lead (72-67) with 0:20 left, and made enough free throws to win the game.  This was a huge win over a Top-15 team, and it was the toughest of the 4 games Michigan played in the tournament.

The semifinal game on Saturday was against Minnesota, a team that beat Michigan in their only meeting of the regular season.  That game, in Minneapolis, was an embarrassment of bad officiating and bad free throw shooting by Michigan.  Michigan had something to prove, and they proved it.  Once again, Michigan had a quick start, and opened up a 10 point lead (15-5) by the 16:17 mark.  They pushed the lead up to 16 points (29-13) with 10:41 left in the half, and kept the lead around 8-10 points for the rest of the half, leading by 11 (47-36) at halftime.  Minnesota came out strong in the 2nd half, and managed to tie the game up 55-55 with 13:11 to go.  That was as close as they got.  Minnesota never led in the 2nd half, and Michigan pushed the lead back up to a more comfortable 9 points (72-63) with 5:18 to go.  Minnesota had one last run in them, and they got within 3 points (78-75) with 0:53 left, but Michigan closed the game on a 6-2 run to win by 7.  The better team won, and they proved that they had been robbed in Minneapolis during the regular season.

It’s tough to play 4 games in 4 days, and several of the Michigan players looked a step slower on Sunday in the championship game vs. Wisconsin.  On top of the normal fatigue from playing so many games in a row, several of the Michigan players got bumped and bruised in the plane accident.  This was their 2nd game against a ranked opponent in 3 days, but they dug deep and found a way to win.  For the 3rd time in 4 games, they started out fast and strong, opening a 6-point lead (19-13) with 11:10 to go in the 1st half.  They stretched the lead to 10 points (30-20) with 5:25 left in the half, and they looked ready to run away with the game, but Wisconsin had other ideas.  They went on a 7-0 run to make it a close game again, 30-27, with 2:41 to go.  Michigan built the lead back up to 6 points (33-27) with 1:27 left, but Wisconsin scored the last 5 points of the half, including (sigh) another long buzzer-beating 3-pointer, so Michigan only led by one point (33-32) at halftime.

Michigan played great defense to start the 2nd half, and held Wisconsin without a field goal for the first 8 minutes of the half.  Wisconsin’s only points during this stretch were a pair of free throws, while Michigan scored 11 points, to make it a 10 point lead, 44-34.  Even once Wisconsin started scoring, Michigan answered each time, increasing their lead to 11 points (51-40) with 7:06 to go.  Wisconsin got as close as 6 points (51-45) with 6:19 to go, and within 7 (59-52) with 2:59 left, but Michigan went wild in the last 3 minutes and outscored Wisconsin 12-4 with an assortment of steals, dunks, and layups.  It was a decisive victory, and very satisfying.

Stats

The stats for the Illinois game are decent.  Michigan shot pretty well overall (30-for-56 = 53.6%), they shot 3-pointers well enough (9-for-25 = 36.0%), and they shot free throws well, but not enough of them (6-for-7 = 85.7%).  They won the rebounding battle (28-26) and the turnover battle (7-14).  All those extra possessions really helped.

The stats for the Purdue game are probably the ugliest that Michigan has had in a win this season.  They didn’t shoot very well overall (25-for-60 = 41.7%), they didn’t shoot 3-pointers very well (6-for-25 = 24.0%), but they did shoot free throws well (18-for-23 = 78.3%).  They actually won the rebounding battle (38-37), despite the monster front line for Purdue, and they won the turnover battle (13-16).  Winning the rebounding battle was the key to winning the game, instead of Michigan’s usual winning formula of just outscoring the opponent.

The stats for the Minnesota game are much better.  Michigan shot well overall (29-for-54 = 53.7%), they shot 3-pointers well (8-for-23 = 34.8%), and they shot free throws well (18-for-22 = 81.8%).  They lost the rebounding battle badly (38-24), but they won the turnover battle (8-11).  Michigan won the game by shooting 3-pointers better, holding Minnesota to 3-for-13 shooting.

Finally, the stats for the Wisconsin game are the best of the week.  Michigan shot very well overall (27-for-48 = 56.3%), they shot 3-pointers well (10-for-23 = 43.5%), and they shot free throws well, but not enough again (7-for-9 = 77.8%).  Once again, they got hammered on the boards (32-25), but they won the turnover battle (9-15).  Michigan won the game by shooting 3-pointers better, again.  Wisconsin only shot 6-for-15.  Michigan’s defense is getting very good at running opposing shooters off the 3-point line.

Who Looked Good

Derrick Walton Jr. was THE MAN this week.  He was Michigan’s leading scorer in 3 of the 4 games (all except the Purdue game), and he was voted the tournament MVP.  He single-handedly kept Michigan in a couple of the games when he took over when momentum was starting to swing away from UM.  He hit several big shots, many of them contested 3-pointers, and he was magnificent from the free throw line, hitting 22 of 23 attempts.  He missed his first free throw attempt, then made 22 in a row, including 10-for-10 vs. Minnesota.  He scored double figures in all 4 games (19, 12, 29, and 22 points), and he had 9 assists vs. Minnesota.  His 29 points in the Minnesota game is a new career high.  He was awesome.  He got robbed when he was named 2nd team All Big Ten.

Zak Irvin was the only other player to hit double figures in all 4 games (18, 13, 13, and 15 points).  He played good, solid defense, and he was Michigan’s leading rebounder in the tournament (7, 7, 5, and 7 rebounds).  He was also named to the All Tournament team.  It was great to see him back in form.

DJ Wilson had a great tournament.  He hit double figures in 3 of the 4 games (11, 26, 7, and 17 points), and was the leading scorer in the big Purdue win.  He had lots of big rebounds (6, 8, 2, and 6 rebounds), and he played great defense, especially guarding the rim and helping on double teams against the multiple huge guys on Purdue and Wisconsin’s front lines.

Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman had a good tournament.  He only hit double figures in 2 of the 4 games (17, 10, 2, and 7 points), but he helped out in all 4 games with rebounds, assists, and steals.  He played good, solid defense, and was the “glue” that held the team together.

Moritz Wagner had one very good game (17 points vs. Minnesota) and 3 so-so games (6, 5, and 7 points).  He appeared to be dealing with a sore back, presumably from the plane accident.

Who Looked Not-So-Good

Mark Donnal had a quiet week.  He scored 0, 3, 4, and 0 points, but he did give Wagner valuable rest periods to take care of his sore back.

Duncan Robinson wasn’t much of a factor in 3 of the 4 games.  He scored 2, 5, 10, and 3 points.

Xavier Simpson also didn’t contribute much this week.  He scored 2 points in the Illinois and Minnesota games, and was held scoreless in the other 2 games.

Who Else Played

Jon Teske played for 1 minute in the Purdue game, and got brutalized by the huge Purdue front line.  That was it for him.

Who Didn’t Play

Brent Hibbitts, Sean Lonergan, Ibi Watson, and Fred Wright-Jones didn’t play this week.

The Big Picture

Since they won the Big Ten Tournament title, Michigan got the league’s automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament.  They also improved their seeding from 8 or 9 to 7.  They’re playing their best basketball of the season, and they have great momentum and confidence going into the tournament.  If they can keep playing like they did in the Big Ten Tournament, they can make a nice deep run in the NCAA Tournament.

What’s Next

On to the Big Dance!  Michigan is the #7 seed in the Midwest Region in Indianapolis (IN), and they’ll play their first game on Friday (03/17/2017, 12:15 p.m. EDT, CBS) vs. the #10 seed, Oklahoma State.

Oklahoma State finished the regular season with a record of 20-12 (9-9 in the Big 12).  They had a couple good wins (Georgetown, Wichita State, Arkansas, Oklahoma [twice], West Virginia), and no bad losses.  They’ve got decent height, and a nice mix of youth and experience.  Michigan can beat them, but they’ll have to play their “A” game.

If they get by Oklahoma State, they’ll face the winner of the game between the #2 seed (Louisville) and the #15 seed (Jacksonville State), presumably Louisville.  That will be quite a challenge for Michigan, since Louisville is better than any of the teams that UM has played so far this season.

Here’s the complete bracket.

Check back next week to see what happened, and why.

Go Blue!

Nothing But ‘Net – Week #19 – 03/06/2017 – End Of The Regular Season

Quick Look

The University of Michigan men’s basketball team played two games last week, both on the road, and they lost one and won one. On Wednesday (03/01/2017), Michigan lost at Northwestern 67-65, then on Sunday (03/05/2017), they beat Nebraska 93-57 in Lincoln. The loss and the win leave Michigan with a final regular season record of 20-11 (10-8 in the Big Ten). They ended up tied for 5th place in the Big Ten with Northwestern, Michigan State, and Iowa.

What Happened

It was a week of contrasts. The loss at Northwestern on Wednesday was devastating, but Michigan bounced back big time, and crushed Nebraska on Sunday. Northwestern has a good team this season, and the game was very close, but the way Michigan lost was gut-wrenching. Northwestern led for most of the game, but usually by only 4-6 points, with a high of 11 points. UM led briefly a couple times, but never by more than 2 points. Northwestern led by 2 points at halftime (30-28), but Michigan had their last lead (63-62) with 2:32 left in the game. Northwestern tied it up at 63-63, and it was still tied, 65-65, a minute later. Both teams missed shots, and Michigan got the ball on a Northwestern miss with 12 seconds left, and took a potential game-winning shot that missed. Northwestern got the ball out of bounds under the Michigan basket with only 1.7 seconds left, and it was nightmare time. Somehow, Northwestern managed to throw a pinpoint pass the length of the court and get a layup as the horn sounded. It was the biggest win in Northwestern’s basketball history, since it pretty much sewed up their first ever trip to the NCAA Tournament. It was also the worst possible way to lose a game that looked like it was headed to overtime.

On the other hand, the Nebraska game was never close, and never tense. After Nebraska scored on their opening possession for their only lead, 2-0, UM went on a 14-0 run to take charge, and never looked back. They led by 16 points (45-29) at halftime, and pushed the lead as high as 38 points (93-55) in the 2nd half, before emptying the bench. It was a dominant victory.

The stats from the Northwestern game are mediocre. Michigan shot pretty poorly overall (23-for-51 = 45.1%), they shot 3-pointers reasonably well (8-for-22 = 36.4%), but they shot free throws poorly, again (11-for-17 = 64.7%). They tied in the rebounding battle (29-29), and won the turnover battle (9-12). They lost the game at the free throw line, again. For a team that had been leading the nation in free throw shooting percentage 2 weeks ago, this is a baffling trend.

The stats for the Nebraska game are awesome. Michigan shot very well overall (34-for-54 = 63.0%), they shot very well from 3-point range (14-for-27 = 51.9%), and they shot free throws well enough (11-for-14 = 78.6%). They won the rebounding battle (29-26) and the turnover battle (10-16). When they shoot well from 3-point range, they are awesome.

Who Looked Good

Derrick Walton Jr. hit double figures in both games this week (15 and 18 points), and he also had 16 assists vs. Nebraska (a new school record), for another double-double. He was the leading scorer for Michigan in both games.

Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman also hit double figures in both games (13 in both games). He was 4-for-7 shooting 3-pointers for the week.

Zak Irvin was the 3rd starter to hit double figures in both games (12 and 15). He shot 6-for-9 overall vs. Nebraska, including 3-for-5 from 3-point range. It was great to have him back, after a few rough weeks.

Moritz Wagner almost had a double-double vs. Northwestern, with 8 points and 10 rebounds, and he hit double figures (11 points) vs. Nebraska, including 3-for-4 shooting 3-pointers.

Duncan Robinson almost had double figures in both games, with 8 and 10 points. He shot 2-for-3 from 3-point range in both games.

Xavier Simpson didn’t score much (2 and 6 points), but he looked much more comfortable out there, and he played some nice defense.

Mark Donnal had a quiet game vs. Northwestern (3 points), but he looked much better vs. Nebraska (9 points). He even hit another 3-pointer vs. Nebraska.

Who Looked Not-So-Good

DJ Wilson had a quiet week, with 4 and 7 points.

Who Else Played

Sean Lonergan, Jon Teske, Ibi Watson, and Fred Wright-Jones all played in the last 4 minutes of the Nebraska game, and Lonergan and Watson both scored 2 points. None of them played in the Northwestern game.

Who Didn’t Play

Brent Hibbitts didn’t play this week.

The Big Picture

Michigan is definitely in the NCAA Tournament, probably with an 8 or 9 seed. They finished the regular season strong, and they have momentum going into postseason play. They have an elite offense, and a capable defense. It all depends on whether or not they are hot. If the 3-pointers are falling, they’re tough to beat. If they’re having a cold-shooting game, they can occasionally scratch out a win, but they’re much more likely to lose. We’ll just have to wait to see which Michigan team shows up each game.

What’s Next

On to the Big Ten Tournament. This year, for the first time, the tournament is being held in Washington, DC, in the Verizon Center. Michigan is the #8 seed, and they will begin play in the tournament against the #9 seed, Illinois, on Thursday (03/09/2017, 12:00 noon, BTN). If they win that game, they move on to face the #1 seed, Purdue, on Friday (03/10/2017, 12:00 noon, ESPN). If they keep winning, the semifinal game is on Saturday (03/11/2017, 1:00 p.m., CBS), and the championship game is on Sunday (03/12/2017, 3:00 p.m., CBS). Here’s the complete bracket.

Michigan has enough talent to win the tournament, and enough mental instability to lose in their first game. They have already beaten both Illinois and Purdue (in Ann Arbor), but they also lost to Illinois on the road. Which UM team will show up? Who knows!

Check back next week to see what happened, and why.

Go Blue!

Nothing But ‘Net – Week #18 – 02/27/2017 – Two Big Wins

Quick Look

The University of Michigan men’s basketball team played two games last week, and they won both of them. On Wednesday (02/22/2017), Michigan won at Rutgers 68-64, then on Saturday (02/25/2017), they beat (#14) Purdue 82-70 in Crisler Arena. The wins raise Michigan’s record to 19-10 (9-7 in the Big Ten).

What Happened

Obviously, the win over Purdue is bigger than the win over Rutgers, perhaps Michigan’s biggest win of the season, but don’t discount the value of a road win in the Big Ten, even over lowly Rutgers. They might have a poor record (13-16 overall, 2-14 in the Big Ten), but Rutgers has been in a lot of close games, even if they lose them. Regardless of the opponents, two wins in a week is a good week, and a road win and a win over a Top-15 opponent is a great week. This was a great week for Michigan.

The win at Rutgers was an ugly win, but it still counts as a win. Michigan led for most of the game (37 minutes, 13 seconds), but the game was very close at the end, with an exciting finish. UM jumped out to an early lead, 13-6, with 15:04 to go in the 1st half. They pushed it up to 9 points a couple times (18-9 and 20-11), put couldn’t pull away from Rutgers. They led by 7 at halftime (35-28), and finally got the lead up to double digits (43-33) with 16:05 to go in the game. That’s when it got scary. Rutgers went on a 19-8 run and got their first lead in a long time, 52-51 with 7:58 left. They increased it to 4 points (56-52) in the next minute, and it looked like the game was slipping away from Michigan, when they woke up, regained the lead (57-56 with 5:50 to go), and never trailed again. They built the lead back up to 6 points (62-56) with 3:48 left, and managed to make just enough baskets and free throws in “crunch time” to hang on for the win. It was scary, but a road win is a big win.

The Purdue game was much more pleasing. Michigan led the entire way, by as many as 22 points, and controlled the tempo of the game. They didn’t completely control Purdue’s star player (Caleb Swanigan), but they did manage to slow him down enough to win the game. The score was close for the first 10 minutes, with Michigan leading by 2 points (15-13). Over the next 5 and a half minutes, UM outscored Purdue 21-7 to lead by 16 (36-20) with 4:40 to go in the half. Purdue got back within 12 in the closing seconds of the half, but UM hit a 3-pointer with 1 second left, to go to halftime up 15, 45-30. Michigan kept Purdue at bay for most of the 2nd half, never letting them get any closer than 11 points until the last 2 minutes. With 11:08 left in the game, Purdue pulled within 11 points (53-42), and Michigan responded with a gorgeous 13-2 run, to put the game almost out of reach, 66-44 with 8:15 to go. Purdue fought back, and got within 6 points (73-67) with 2:14 to go, but Michigan hit some key baskets, made their free throws, and got their stops, and earned the big victory.

The stats for the Rutgers game are pretty unimpressive. Michigan shot poorly overall (22-for-54 = 40.7%), they shot 3-pointers reasonably well (10-for-31 = 32.3%), but they shot free throws poorly again (14-for-23 = 60.9%). Surprisingly, Michigan won the rebounding battle (40-33), but lost the turnover battle (11-7). Michigan won the game shooting 3-pointers better than Rutgers, and controlling the boards.

The stats for the Purdue game are much better. Michigan shot the ball well overall (30-for-55 = 54.5%), they shot 3-pointers well (11-for-26 = 42.3%), and they were perfect shooting free throws (11-for-11 = 100.0%). They lost the rebounding battle (31-24), but they won the turnover battle (9-11). Once again, Michigan won the game shooting 3-pointers better than their opponent.

Who Looked Good

Derrick Walton Jr. hit double figures in both games this week (13 and 17 points), and he also had 5 rebounds vs. Rutgers, and 11 vs. Purdue, for a double-double on Senior Night.

Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman also hit double figures in both games (14 and 10). Once again, he connected on several fearless drives to the hoop in heavy traffic.

Moritz Wagner had a decent game at Rutgers, with 8 points, but he had a monster 1st half vs. Purdue, with 22 points at halftime. He only scored 2 more points in the 2nd half, but his huge 1st half staked Michigan to the comfortable lead that they kept for most of the 2nd half.

Zak Irvin had a pretty good game at Rutgers, with 16 points, but he had a lousy Senior Night vs. Purdue, with only 4 points. He did play some good defense in both games.

DJ Wilson almost hit double figures in both games, with 10 and 9 points. He played some great defense against Purdue, which really helped.

Duncan Robinson only had 3 points vs. Rutgers, but he had 11 big points in the Purdue win. His defense is improving.

Xavier Simpson was scoreless in the Rutgers game, but he had 7 big points vs. Purdue.

Who Looked Not-So-Good

Mark Donnal had a very quiet week, with 4 and 0 points.

Who Else Played

Sean Lonergan played in the last minute of the Purdue game, since he’s a senior. He didn’t score.

Who Didn’t Play

Brent Hibbitts, Jon Teske, Ibi Watson, and Fred Wright-Jones didn’t play this week.

The Big Picture

With 19 wins, and a couple marquee victories recently (Wisconsin and Purdue), Michigan is all but certain to make it to the NCAA Tournament. They can make it a certainty if they can win either of their last two regular season games, or their first round game in the Big Ten Tournament. Even if they lose all 3 of those games, they’re probably in the Big Dance.

What’s Next

This week is the final week of the regular season, and Michigan plays two games again, both on the road. On Wednesday (03/01/2017, 7:00 p.m. EST, BTN), they play at Northwestern, then on Sunday (03/05/2017, 8:00 p.m. EST, BTN), they play at Nebraska.

Michigan only plays Northwestern once this season, and it’s on the road. Northwestern is having their best season ever, and it looks like they are finally going to make it to the NCAA Tournament. They are the only “power conference” team to have never been to the Big Dance, but it looks like they’ll make it this year, finally. They are 20-9 overall, 9-7 in the Big Ten, tied with Michigan for 6th place in the league. They have some quality wins (Texas, Wake Forest, Indiana, and Wisconsin), and a couple unimpressive losses (Illinois, twice). This is a definite “toss up” game, but Michigan needs it more.

Michigan played Nebraska in Crisler Arena way back on 01/14/2017, when UM won 91-85. Since then, Nebraska has gone 3-7, with a win over Purdue, and losses to Ohio State and Rutgers. They are currently 12-15 overall, 6-9 in the Big Ten. This is also a “toss up” game.

Check back next week to see what happened, and why.

Go Blue!

Nothing But ‘Net – Week #17 – 02/20/2017 – Big Win, Ugly Loss

Quick Look

The University of Michigan men’s basketball team played two games last week, and they won one and lost the other. On Thursday (02/16/2017), Michigan beat (#11) Wisconsin 64-58 in Crisler Arena, then on Sunday (02/19/2017), they lost at Minnesota 83-78, in overtime. The win and the loss leave Michigan with a record of 17-10 (7-7 in the Big Ten).

What Happened

As impressive as the win over Wisconsin was, the loss to Minnesota was just as unimpressive. Michigan played tough, smart basketball vs. Wisconsin, and they played miserable, mistake-ridden basketball vs. Minnesota. They deserved to win the Wisconsin game, and they deserved to lose the Minnesota game. Michigan has had a tough time playing with any composure on the road, except for the one win at Indiana.

The Wisconsin game was very exciting. Neither team ever got more than 9 points ahead, and it came right down to the last minute. After winning both games (MSU and Indiana) 2 weeks ago without ever trailing, Michigan started the Wisconsin game with an early 8-2 lead, and stayed ahead until the 12:17 mark, when Wisconsin went ahead 11-10. The lead went back and forth, with Wisconsin leading by 1 point (31-30) at halftime. The first 2 and a half minutes of the 2nd half were a disaster. Wisconsin went on a 7-0 run, to push the lead up to 8 points (38-30), and it looked like the game was about to slip away, but Michigan didn’t give up. They fought back hard, and managed to tie the game up (42-42) with 12:12 left. It was still tied (47-47) with 7:53 to go, when Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman hit a huge 3-pointer from the corner and was fouled, giving him a rare 4-point play. Wisconsin never got any closer than 4 points the rest of the game.

The Minnesota game was depressing. Michigan played from behind almost the entire game, and whenever they did manage to scratch out a small lead, they gave it back quickly. Foul trouble and turnovers hurt them all game, and the stretches of cold shooting came at just the wrong times. This was a “momentum” game, and Michigan kept giving Minnesota the momentum, which kept the crowd in it. The game was close the whole way, with neither team ever getting a double-digit lead. Minnesota led by 2 at halftime (29-27), and it looked like they were going to win in regulation when they were up 8 points (68-60) with only 2:54 left in the game. They were still up 6 points (70-64) with 1:17 left, when Michigan went on an 8-2 run to end the half, and tie it up. The big shot was a long 3-pointer by DJ Wilson with 2 seconds left to tie the game and send it to overtime. Overtime didn’t go well, and a winnable game was lost.

The big story in the Minnesota game was lousy officiating, and too much of it. Which team was better? We’ll never know, since the refs took over and made it about them. Minnesota shot an incredible 41 free throws! The worst segment was when they called a phantom foul on Derrick Walton Jr., then “TV” Teddy Valentine just stared at the Michigan bench, hoping for a reaction he could call a technical on. He got it, and called a tech on the bench from 40 feet away. It was another “momentum” moment.

The stats for the Wisconsin game are decent. Michigan didn’t shoot very well overall (23-for-50 = 46.0%), they didn’t shoot 3-pointers very well (9-for-23 = 39.1%), and they didn’t shoot free throws very well (9-for-13 = 69.2%). They lost the rebounding battle (35-29), but they (barely) won the turnover battle (10-11). The big difference in this game was that UM made 9 3-pointers, and Wisconsin only made 3 (on 16 attempts).

The stats for the Minnesota game are ugly. Overall shooting was pretty good (30-for-60 = 50.0%), but 3-point shooting was bad (9-for-26 = 34.6%), and free throw shooting was absolutely terrible (9-for-18 = 50.0%). Michigan got hammered on the boards (44-31), but they did (barely) win the turnover battle (9-11). The game was lost at the free throw line. Michigan came into the game as the #1 team in the nation at free throw percentage.

Who Looked Good

Moritz Wagner played hard in both games, with 21 and 15 points. He had foul trouble in the poorly-called Minnesota game, which limited his effectiveness.

Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman had 12 and 14 points, many on fearless drives into heavy traffic.

Zak Irvin finally broke out of his slump. He didn’t have a great week, but he did finally score some points: 18 vs. Wisconsin and 10 vs. Minnesota.

Derrick Walton Jr. had a mediocre game vs. Wisconsin (5 points), but bounced back with 16 points vs. Minnesota. He was uncharacteristically bad shooting free throws (1-for-4) vs. Minnesota.

DJ Wilson also had a weak game vs. Wisconsin (2 points), and bounced back vs. Minnesota (16 points).

Who Looked Not-So-Good

Duncan Robinson had a quiet week, with 6 and 5 points.

Xavier Simpson played in both games, but failed to score.

Mark Donnal had a very quiet week, with 0 and 2 points. He did play some good defense, and gave Wagner a long rest in the Wisconsin game.

Jon Teske played for 2 minutes in the Wisconsin game, and it was a disaster. The Wisconsin big men went right at him, and he was helpless. He didn’t play in the Minnesota game.

Who Else Played

No one else played this week. They were both tight games, and Coach Beilein stuck to a short bench.

Who Didn’t Play

Brent Hibbitts, Sean Lonergan, Ibi Watson, and Fred Wright-Jones didn’t play this week.

The Big Picture

The win over Wisconsin really helped Michigan’s chances of making the NCAA Tournament, and their loss at Minnesota hurt those chances a little. Michigan can still solidify their spot in the Big Dance with 2 more wins in the last 4 games, and one win in the Big Ten Tournament. Unfortunately, 3 of those 4 regular season games are on the road, where UM has had a rough time.

What’s Next

This week Michigan plays two games again, one on the road and one in Crisler. On Wednesday (02/22/2017, 6:30 p.m., BTN), they play at Rutgers, then on Saturday (02/25/2017, 4:00 p.m., ESPN2), they play (#16) Purdue in Crisler.

Michigan only plays Rutgers once this season, and it’s on the road. Rutgers is still the worst team in the Big Ten, but they’re getting better. They are currently 13-15 overall, but only 2-13 in Big Ten play. They haven’t beaten anybody good, and all their losses are predictable. Given Michigan’s poor play on the road, I expect a nailbiter.

This is also the only time Michigan plays Purdue this season. Purdue is currently 22-5 overall, 11-3 in the Big Ten. They are tied for 1st place in the league. They have some impressive wins (Notre Dame, Wisconsin, Michigan State [twice], and Maryland), and a couple puzzling losses (Minnesota, Iowa, and Nebraska). They are tall and talented, but they are beatable. It’s Senior Night for Michigan, and they’d sure like to send the seniors out with a big upset.

Check back next week to see what happened, and why.

Go Blue!

Nothing But ‘Net – Week #16 – 02/13/2017 – Back From The Brink

Quick Look

The University of Michigan men’s basketball team played two games last week, and they won both of them. On Tuesday (02/07/2017), Michigan thrashed Michigan State 86-57 in Crisler Arena, then on Sunday (02/12/2017), they beat Indiana 75-63 in Bloomington. The two wins raise Michigan’s record to 16-9 (6-6 in the Big Ten).

What Happened

This is easily the best week that Michigan has had this season, even better than the big wins in the 2K Classic in November. They played two of their biggest rivals, and they beat them both handily. The win over MSU was a total beat-down, with not even a hint of a moral victory for MSU. They were exposed on national TV (ESPN). The win at IU was almost bigger, since Michigan had lost 17 of the last 18 games in Assembly Hall, and hadn’t won a true road game this season. The two wins pull Michigan back from the brink, and put them squarely on the right side of the NCAA bubble. They still need to win 4 of their last 6 games, with all of them either on the road or against the top teams in the Big Ten, but Michigan has momentum now, and they’re finally playing some defense to go with their high-powered offense.

Question: where has this team been up until now?  I’m glad they finally showed up, but it would have been nice if they had shown up a month ago.

Michigan never trailed in either game, which is pretty impressive, and they opened up some nice leads along the way. In the MSU game, the game was close for the first 11 minutes (23-19 with 9:11 left), then UM started to pull away. They started hitting 3-pointers, and grew the lead from 4 to 16 points in less than 3 minutes (35-19 with 6:26 to go in the 1st half). They got the lead up to 20 points (47-27) with 1:49 left, then went on a nice 6-0 run to end the half, up 26 points (55-29). Michigan opened the 2nd half with 2 quick baskets to make it a 30 point lead (59-29) with 18:50 to go, and forced MSU into a timeout just 1:10 into the half. UM held the Feisty Farmers at arm’s length the rest of the game, never letting the lead down below 20 points. The Crisler Arena crowd had a great time chanting “Little Brother!” and “Just Like Football!” It was a great win. MSU’s “pain in the butt” head coach, Tom Izzo, actually sat down and shut up for the last 5 minutes!

Back on 01/26/2017, Michigan throttled Indiana in Crisler Arena, 90-60, so IU was out for revenge. Once again, the game was close in the early going, with UM only up by 3 points (14-11) with 12:09 to go in the 1st half. The 3-pointers started falling, and Michigan stretched the lead to 13 points (33-20) with 4:01 left in the half. UM went cold at that point, and didn’t score again until the 17:40 mark in the 2nd half, almost 6 and a half minutes. Fortunately, IU didn’t score much either, and UM still had an 8-point lead (35-27). Michigan got the lead back up to 13 points again (56-43) with 8:30 left in the game, then again with 4:58 left. They managed the end of the game very well, hitting their free throws, and won by 12. It was a good, solid win.

The stats for the MSU game are very impressive. Michigan shot very well overall (32-for-53 = 60.4%), they shot 3-pointers very well (10-for-21 = 47.6%), and they shot free throws very well (12-for-14 = 85.7%). They lost the rebounding battle (26-22), but they won the turnover battle handily (8-21). Michigan dominated everywhere but on the boards, and crushed MSU.

The stats for the IU game are not nearly as impressive, but they’re good enough for a Michigan victory. Michigan shot fairly well overall (26-for-55 = 47.3%), they shot 3-pointers pretty well (8-for-22 = 36.4%), and they shot free throws very well (15-for-19 = 78.9%). They lost the rebounding battle (32-29), but they won the turnover battle (8-15). Those extra 7 possessions really helped.

Who Looked Good

Derrick Walton Jr. continued his recent streak of great games with 2 more. He was the high scorer for Michigan in both games, with 20 and 25 points. He went 9-for-9 from the free throw line vs. IU, to help seal the win.

Moritz Wagner had a great week, with 19 and 11 points. He also had 10 rebounds vs. IU, for his first career double-double. He did foul out of the IU game in the last minute, but by then the result was no longer in doubt. He could have had another 10 points vs. IU if he had dunked the ball instead of laying it up for 5 missed layups.

Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman had a good week, even if he only hit double figures once, in the MSU game. He had 16 big points vs. MSU, and 7 vs. IU.

DJ Wilson had a rough game vs. MSU, with only 6 points in 22 minutes of action, but he bounced back nicely with 13 points and 35 minutes vs. IU.

Duncan Robinson had a good week, with 10 and 8 points. His defense was also improved.

Xavier Simpson finally figured things out in the MSU game, and played his best game so far. He finally took a few shots, and made most of them, for 7 points on 3-for-4 shooting. He also had a rebound and 2 assists. It was great to see him contribute. He scored 2 more points, and had 2 more assists, in the IU game.

Who Looked Not-So-Good

Zak Irvin is almost completely worthless out there anymore. He is in a major slump, but he keeps on shooting, and missing. In his last 4 games, here’s how he has shot:

  • At Michigan State: 0-for-8 (0-for-2 from 3-point range)
  • Ohio State: 2-for-10 (1-for-6)
  • Michigan State: 1-for-5 (1-for-2)
  • At Indiana: 1-for-8 (0-for-5)

That adds up to 4-for-31 (12.9%) overall, 2-for-15 (13.3%) from 3-point range.

Mark Donnal had a quiet week, with 3 and 4 points.

Who Else Played

Brent Hibbitts, Sean Lonergan, Jon Teske, Ibi Watson, and Fred Wright-Jones all played in the MSU blowout, and Wright-Jones actually scored (2 free throws). Lonergan, Teske, and Watson played in the last minute of the IU game, but didn’t score.

Who Didn’t Play

Everyone got to play in (at least) the MSU massacre.

The Big Picture

Remember what I said last week about the NIT instead of the NCAA Tournament? Not so fast! Michigan still has some tough games to win, but they control their own destiny. If they keep playing like they did last week, they stand a fighting chance in all 6 of their remaining regular season games.

What’s Next

This week Michigan plays two games again, one in Crisler and one on the road. On Thursday (02/16/2017, 7:00 p.m., ESPN), they play (#7) Wisconsin in Crisler Arena, then on Sunday (02/19/2017, 7:00 p.m. EST, BTN), they play at Minnesota.

Michigan played at Wisconsin about a month ago (01/17/2017), and they put up a good fight in an extremely hostile environment. Wisconsin won 68-64, but Michigan was up by 6 points (49-43) with 6:29 left in the game, before they fell apart at the end. Michigan can beat them in Crisler Arena, but they need to play the way they did against IU twice and MSU once, not the way they played against Ohio State. This will be a tough game, but it’s winnable.

This is the only time Michigan plays Minnesota this season. Minnesota is 18-7 overall, 6-6 in the Big Ten, with only one impressive win (Purdue), and a couple not-so-hot losses (Penn State and Ohio State). They’re pretty tough at home (13-3), but not unbeatable. This will also be a tough game.

Check back next week to see what happened, and why.

Go Blue!