z
 UMGoBlue.COM - Michigan Wolverine Sports By Fans...For Fans

 

                         UMGoBlog.COM    UMGoVideo.COM   UMGoPodcast.COM

UMGoVideo Highlights
 

Home     |     Talk    |    Photos 

 
Drew Montag's Michigan Football Predictions

July 28, 2009 - Drew Montag

Yeah, I know, I’m the “basketball guy” at UMGoBlue.com, not one of the football guys, but I’m a UM football fan as well.  Every year, I make my predictions for the upcoming UM football season, and most of the time I get pretty close.  Occasionally I’m too optimistic (2007: predicted = 11-1, actual = 8-4), and occasionally I’m too pessimistic (2006: predicted = 7-5, actual = 11-1), but usually I’m optimistic and the Wolverines reward my optimism.  Then there was last season.  I predicted a 4-8 season, and I was the only person I knew who was predicting a losing season.  I expected a few raised eyebrows, but I wasn’t prepared for the reaction I got.  I got blasted for it.  I never expected to get hate mail, but I did.  Somehow, people thought that my prediction would somehow turn a good season into a bad one.  Sorry, but I don’t have that kind of power.

 

As we all know, Michigan had their worst season ever (3-9), which is even worse than I had predicted.  I took no joy from being (close to) right.  I would have been overjoyed to have been proven wrong, and to have watched UM go 8-4 or something.  Instead, it was like watching a slow-motion car crash.

 

So, how did I do it?  Was it very careful analysis of all the players and how they would fit in the new schemes?  Nope, it was just a matter of looking at the schedule and going with my gut feelings about each matchup.  And that’s what I’m doing again for this season.  Sure, I think UM will be (greatly) improved over last year.  Sure, I think that all the players will be much more comfortable in the new schemes.  Yeah, we just barely missed winning some games last season that we could win this season.  But even taking all that into account, I still don’t have a very good feeling about the upcoming season.  Maybe once I see the Rich Rodriguez Experiment succeed for a whole season, I’ll start to get some of my old optimism back, but for now, I’m still thinking “rebuilding”.

 

Anyway, here are my predictions for the 2009 season:

 

Date

Opponent

Result

Record

Comments

09/05

Western Michigan

W

1-0 (0-0)

They are a MAC team, after all

09/12

Notre Dame

L

1-1 (0-0)

Closer than last year, but still a loss

09/19

Eastern Michigan

W

2-1 (0-0)

Finally, an easy win

09/26

Indiana (Homecoming)

W

3-1 (1-0)

IU should finish last in the Big Ten

10/03

at Michigan State

L

3-2 (1-1)

Maybe at home, but not on the road

10/10

at Iowa

L

3-3 (1-2)

A very tough place to win

10/17

Delaware State

W

4-3 (1-2)

A much-needed breather

10/24

Penn State

L

4-4 (1-3)

PSU is just too good this year

10/31

at Illinois

L

4-5 (1-4)

Too much Juice Williams

11/07

Purdue

W

5-5 (2-4)

Keeping the bowl dream alive

11/14

at Wisconsin

L

5-6 (2-5)

Another tough place to win

11/21

Ohio State

L

5-7 (2-6)

Improved, but not enough

 

I think UM will end up in 8th place in the Big Ten, with no bowl game again.

 

Of the 7 losses, 2 of them might turn to wins: at Illinois and at Wisconsin.  If UM can win either of them, then they might sneak into a lower-tier bowl game.

 

Go Blue!

 


Drew Montag
Men's Basketball Editor, UMGoBlue.COM

 
 
 
 
Submit Your Comment
Your Name :
Your E-mail :
Your Comment :
 

 

Current Comments

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Decrease Text Size Increase Text Size


Related Articles

   

Tag Cloud

Drew Montag 2009 Michigan Wolverine Football
 

Powered by
Home  |     Talk    |     Photos    |    Contact